Tag Archives: vertical media

Vertical Media vs. Prediction Markets vs. Mass Media

Posted on April 27, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Let’s rank institutions according to who has dealt first with the swine flu: Vertical media and local media — starting Tuesday, April 21, 2009 Mass media, news aggregators, and user-created prediction markets (a la HubDub) — starting Friday, April 24, … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Accuracy and Efficiency of Prediction Markets

Posted on February 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

To sum up things… And in other words: The relative accuracy of the prediction markets = epsilon and (quite) controversial. The relative efficiency of the prediction markets versus the mass media (not the vertical media) = big (in complicated situations), … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment