Tag Archives: U.S. military

What I mean by “advanced” and “retarded”

- An event is “advanced” when it is before the others on the timeline. – An event is “retarded” when it is after the others on the timeline. – - I use the term “advanced, primary indicator” to talk about … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Miscellaneous, Psychology, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Clueless and retarded InTrade traders (“the sheep”) can’t take “no” for an answer. — Short sellers (“the wolves”) will BBQ them.

Still trading at 30% this Thursday morning. – - – US Military Chief Says Any Attack on Iran Would be Destabilizing. – Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

NewsFutures’ hyper marketese on their prediction market consultancy and software package for enterprise prediction markets

NewsFutures: Top-10 reasons why NewsFutures is the ideal partner to harness the wisdom of your crowd 1.) Integrated Solutions We offer complete solutions, not just great software. This approach delivers a much higher success rate and enables the client organization … Continue reading

Posted in Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Software | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

InTrade-TradeSports is still plagued by the North Korea Missile scandal.

Any good journalist writing up a piece on InTrade or interviewing John Delaney does mention the North Korea Missile scandal. — Bet on It! – (page two – page three + a crappy listing of exchanges) – by Spectrum’s Steven … Continue reading

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FREAKONOMICS: John Delaney of InTrade-TradeSports.

Freakonomics (last month): Q: Briefly, what is Intrade? A: InTrade is a marketplace, just like eBay or the NYSE, that provides innovative markets to trade, and the best darn predictive information on uncertain future events bar none! InTrade is a … Continue reading

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Event derivative trader Vancheeswaran has been expelled from the TradeSports-InTrade forum.

And, of course, no reason was cited. Trade Exchange Network Membership Information Dear vancheeswaran, The site administrators have removed your access rights: Violation of T&Cs powered by eve community<http://eve.groupee.com/landing/goto.php?a=community> Hummm… Quite vague. Do they dislike the truth, at Intrade-TradeSports? Here … Continue reading

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INTRADE-TRADESPORTS: John Delaney LIED in his Freakonomics interview.

That’s what tries to demonstrate event derivative trader “Vancheeswaran” in a comment on the Freakonomics blog post featuring a complacent interview of InTrade-TradeSports’ John Delaney. — InTrade-TradeSports’ John Delaney: We listed a market on whether the U.S. Government would formally … Continue reading

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