Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: University of Westminster

An automated market maker subisdizes Robin Hanson’s presidential decision-aid markets on Intrade

Peter McCluskey:

Automated Market Maker for certain Intrade contracts
I have implemented subsidies to encourage trading of some conditional prediction market contracts that may provide useful information about the consequences of the 2008 presidential election, via a simple automated market maker (using an algorithm described near the end of http://hanson.gmu.edu/ifextropy.html). The subsidized market maker ought to provide [...]

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets Workshop starts today.

In a few hours, the workshop The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications starts at Palm Desert, California.
The quality of presenters is excellent and the workshop has succeeded in attracting high level contributions. The program and complete list of papers to be presented are available here, while directly related to prediction [...]

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications – University of California at Riverside, Palm Desert, California, U.S.A. – 2007-05-10~22
Gambling: Design and Implementation 1
- “An Examination of the Determinants of Biased Behaviour in a Market for State Contingent Claims” Professor Johnnie Johnson, Southampton University Professor Alistair Bruce, University of Nottingham Jiejun Yu, [...]

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