Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: University of Iowa

IS IT SAFE TO LOCATE A PREDICTION EXCHANGE NEAR A RIVER???

BetFair HQ in Hammersmith, London, England, United Kingdom, European Union
At its feet, the river Thames…
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Previously: River rising. Power plant closed. Is the Iowa Electronic Markets at risk?
“This is an emergency such as we’ve never seen before, with unprecedented threats to our campus,” University of Iowa President Sally Mason said. “This is getting dangerous now.”
Wikipedia on [...]

RIVER RISING. POWER PLANT CLOSED. IOWA ELECTRONIC MARKETS AT RISK? DEVELOPING…

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“The river [which passes thru the U of I] is expected to reach 33 feet to 34 feet Monday or early Tuesday. Flood stage is 25 feet.“
“This is an emergency such as we’ve never seen before, with unprecedented threats to our campus,” University of Iowa President Sally Mason said. “This is getting dangerous now.”
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U of [...]

U.S. COAST GUARDS DEPLOYED TO SAVE THE IOWA ELECTRONIC MARKETS

“This is an emergency such as we’ve never seen before, with unprecedented threats to our campus,” University of Iowa President Sally Mason said. “This is getting dangerous now.”
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The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]

Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Labs
(with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo)
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Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.)
Economic Science Institute – (ESI) – (Chapman University, California, U.S.A.)
HP Labs – (Hewlett-Packard, Palo Alto, California, U.S.A.)
Laboratory for Experimental Economics and [...]

Academics to discuss prediction market experience

According to the preliminary schedule of the 2008 American Economic Association annual meetings, some leading prediction market scholars will be gathering to discuss empirical data from prediction markets. The meetings will be held in New Orleans in early January [2008].
The “Prediction Markets–New Empirical Findings” session, organized by Eric Zitzewitz, of Stanford University Dartmouth College, [...]

BetFair, TradeSports-InTrade and the Hollywood Stock Exchange do control what you read on Wikipedia.


- BetFair has been editing Wikipedia 6 times.
- TradeSports-InTrade has been editing Wikipedia 33 times.
- Cantor (the owner of the HSX): 134 times.
- Google (of Bo Cowgill) and Yahoo! (of David Pennock and Daniel Reeves): hundreds of times.
- University of Iowa (the owner of the Iowa Electronic Markets), George Mason University (the working place of [...]

Yes Virginia, Wikipedia is a warzone of vested interests.

Wiki Scanner: Search the Wikipedia edits to spot the organizations that edited it.
It would be interesting to investigate who edited the Wikipedia pages on prediction markets and betting exchanges. (At the time of writing, Wiki Scanner was out of service.)

UPDATE: BetFair, TradeSports-InTrade and the Hollywood Stock Exchange do control what you read on Wikipedia.
- BetFair [...]

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets Workshop starts today.

In a few hours, the workshop The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications starts at Palm Desert, California.
The quality of presenters is excellent and the workshop has succeeded in attracting high level contributions. The program and complete list of papers to be presented are available here, while directly related to prediction [...]

Economists’ Petition on Prediction Markets

Statement on Prediction Markets – (Click here to read the abstract and download the petition from the SSRN site) – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, Daniel Kahneman, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert Litan, Paul Milgrom, Forrest D. Nelson, George R. Neumann, Charles R. Plott, Thomas C. Schelling, [...]

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