Tag Archives: University of Chicago

The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

Posted in People, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Academics to discuss prediction market experience

According to the preliminary schedule of the 2008 American Economic Association annual meetings, some leading prediction market scholars will be gathering to discuss empirical data from prediction markets. The meetings will be held in New Orleans in early January [2008]. … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Events & Meetings | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Were the InTrade prediction markets on the November 2006′s Senate elections accurate?

Revisiting the issue, almost one year later. Lance Fortnow (University of Chicago) wrote: So how did those predictions go? In short you can say the markets predicted every individual race correctly but got the senate wrong, but let us look … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – San Diego, California, U.S.A. – June 12, 2007

Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – San Diego, California, U.S.A. – June 12, 2007 — 8:30 – 8:35 Opening remark 8:35 – 9:30 Amit Gandhi, “Rational Expectations at the Racetrack : Testing Expected Utility Using Prediction Market Prices” (20 min) … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Events & Meetings | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets Workshop starts today.

In a few hours, the workshop The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications starts at Palm Desert, California. The quality of presenters is excellent and the workshop has succeeded in attracting high level contributions. The program … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Betting, Economics, Gambling | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Economists’ Petition on Prediction Markets

Statement on Prediction Markets – (Click here to read the abstract and download the petition from the SSRN site) – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, Daniel Kahneman, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications – University of California at Riverside, Palm Desert, California, U.S.A. – 2007-05-10~22 Gambling: Design and Implementation 1 – “An Examination of the Determinants of Biased Behaviour in a Market … Continue reading

Posted in Events & Meetings | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The 27th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting

The 27th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting – Financial Forecasting in a Global Economy @ Marriott Marquis, Times Square, New York City, NY, U.S.A. – 2007-06-24~27 Keynote Speakers Robert Engle = Michael Armellino Professor of Finance at New York University … Continue reading

Posted in Events & Meetings, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Chicago, Athens, and Jerusalem

Why this crazy blog name? Chicago–My hometown, the location of my [university] education at the University of Chicago, one of the world’s premier centers of scientific [research]. Known as a hub of transportation and commerce, and for the “Chicago Schools” … Continue reading

Posted in Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment