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Midas Oracle .ORG » trading http://www.midasoracle.org Prediction Markets, etc. Sat, 11 Feb 2012 17:20:04 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 Once again, Robin Hanson exaggerates the usefulness of the prediction markets. — [ANALYSIS] http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/06/30/intrades-prediction-markets-on-the-recent-arab-revolutions/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/06/30/intrades-prediction-markets-on-the-recent-arab-revolutions/#comments Thu, 30 Jun 2011 23:10:38 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=25591 InTrade’s prediction markets on the recent Arab revolutions didn’t bring anything interesting in our understanding of the Middle East.

Robin Hanson’s insistence is absurd.

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/06/30/intrades-prediction-markets-on-the-recent-arab-revolutions/feed/ 0 Conspicacy theory (involving credit cards) about coffee futures — [VIDEO] http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/05/16/howard-schultz-starbucks-coffee-futures-derivatives-speculators/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/05/16/howard-schultz-starbucks-coffee-futures-derivatives-speculators/#comments Mon, 16 May 2011 15:59:16 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=24745

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/05/16/howard-schultz-starbucks-coffee-futures-derivatives-speculators/feed/ 0 The future belongs to hedge funds — [LINK] http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/03/31/the-future-belongs-to-hedge-funds/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/03/31/the-future-belongs-to-hedge-funds/#comments Thu, 31 Mar 2011 13:55:46 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=24030 Man vs. Machine on Wall Street: How Computers Beat the Market.

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/03/31/the-future-belongs-to-hedge-funds/feed/ 0 Arab Revolt Prediction Markets – {Predictions for next Arab country to revolt} – {Which country is the next ‘domino’?} – {What will happen in the Middle East & Northern Africa?} – [PREDICTION MARKET CHARTS] http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/02/22/middle-east-northern-africa-muslim-arabs-prediction-markets-charts/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/02/22/middle-east-northern-africa-muslim-arabs-prediction-markets-charts/#comments Tue, 22 Feb 2011 21:04:05 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=23347 Continue reading →]]> Predictions for next Arab country to revolt:

Libya — Muammar al-Gaddafi – [5 spellings: Gaddafi, Qaddafi, Gadhafi, Khadafy and Khadafi]:

Bahrain — Khalifah ibn Sulman al-Khalifah:

Yemen — Ali Abdullah Saleh:

Iran — Mahmoud Ahmadinejad:

Iran — Seyed Ali Hoseyni Kh?mene’i:

GEO TAGS: Middle East – Northern Africa.

Previously: The liberation of the Arab countries will ultimately lead to a war with Israel. — [PREDICTION]

Next: Justin Wolfers didn’t inform the Freakonomics readers about InTrade’s mistake related to the contract statements of the ‘dictator departure markets’.

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/02/22/middle-east-northern-africa-muslim-arabs-prediction-markets-charts/feed/ 0 Trading on Inkling’s prediction markets – [VIDEO] http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/01/20/trading-inkling-markets-prediction-markets/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/01/20/trading-inkling-markets-prediction-markets/#comments Thu, 20 Jan 2011 18:12:15 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=22829

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/01/20/trading-inkling-markets-prediction-markets/feed/ 0 “The REAL lesson most investors should take away from the largest institutional insider-trading investigation in history is that competition in the global financial markets is so intense that it’s basically idiotic to trade.” http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/22/wall-street-information-war/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/22/wall-street-information-war/#comments Mon, 22 Nov 2010 15:33:30 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=21956 “the folks they are competing with have millions and millions of dollars to spend gathering information that will never be published anywhere or appear on a screen or in a chart or graph.”

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/22/wall-street-information-war/feed/ 2 Predict X = Play-money prediction markets http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/21/predict-x-play-money-prediction-markets/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/21/predict-x-play-money-prediction-markets/#comments Sun, 21 Nov 2010 21:39:02 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=21937 Predict X

http://www.predictx.org/

Best wishes to Sebastian and Alexander.

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/11/21/predict-x-play-money-prediction-markets/feed/ 0 Prof Michael Giberson still into prediction market manipulation http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/06/15/michael-giberson-prediction-market-manipulation/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/06/15/michael-giberson-prediction-market-manipulation/#comments Tue, 15 Jun 2010 12:56:05 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=21436 I am personally fed up with this theme, but our good friend Mike Giberson has some inklings. See also Paul Hewitt’s comment.

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/06/15/michael-giberson-prediction-market-manipulation/feed/ 1 Max Keiser: Cantor Exchange and Media Derivatives Exchange would be an “insiders/traders’s paradise”. http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/04/30/max-keiser-insider-traders-paradise/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/04/30/max-keiser-insider-traders-paradise/#comments Fri, 30 Apr 2010 20:45:07 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=21211 Max Keiser – 12:00 into (17,000 views already):

I disagree with Max that a prediction market quote can change perceptions that much.

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/04/30/max-keiser-insider-traders-paradise/feed/ 0 Eugene Fama (the father of the efficient markets hypothesis): Here’s historical evidence that momentum trading doesn’t work. http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/01/11/eugene-fama-efficient-markets-hypothesis-momentum-trading/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/01/11/eugene-fama-efficient-markets-hypothesis-momentum-trading/#comments Mon, 11 Jan 2010 18:50:09 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=20158 New York Times: What the Past Canâ€™t Tell Investors

I am linking to the story so as to create an opportunity for commenting, below.

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