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- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
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Tag Archives: Tim Harford
Tim Harford is a paperback writer.
US edition (paperback): Tim Harford, The Logic Of Life – UK edition (paperback): Tim Harford, The Logic Of Life -
Posted in Economics, Resources - References
Tagged Amazon, books, Economics, economists, paperback, The Logic Of Life, Tim Harford
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Tim Harford on office micro-geography (and Google’s enterprise prediction markets)
Tim Harford: [...] We keep being told that because of cheap, ubiquitous communication technology, distance is dead. But if there was ever a company that we should expect to exemplify that idea, surely it was Google. This research suggests that … Continue reading
Posted in Business, Cases, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged corporate prediction markets, Dartmouth College, economic analyst, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, micro-geography, organizational sociology, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Tim Harford, ubiquitous communication technology, University of Pennsylvania
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The Logic Of Life — by Tim Harford
YouTube video It’s too short!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Prediction Market Industry Association = useless, so far
We have witnessed a backlash against the prediction markets just after the Hew Hampshire fiasco. Some bloggers and journalists picked on the prediction markets (InTrade, that is), even though both the polls and the pundits were awfully wrong too. [*] … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Prediction Journalism
Tagged Adam, Adam Siegel, blog, bloggers, Chris Masse, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Everyday Economist, Felix Salmon, George Tziralis, Jason Ruspini, Jed Christiansen, John Tierney, Jonathan Kennedy, Justin Wolfers, Lance Fortnow, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Mike Giberson, Nigel Eccles, PMIA, polls, Prediction Market Industry Association, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Sean Park, Steve Roman, the New York Times, Tim Harford, Wall Street Journal
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The Undercover Economist
The Undercover Economist = Tim Harford’s blog — [ Tim Harford's LinkedIn profile ] His blog feed (a.k.a. RSS): http://blogs.ft.com/undercover/rss.xml I recommend Google Reader, as your feed reader.
Posted in Resources - References
Tagged Google, The Undercover Economist, Tim Harford, Undercover Economist
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Money-on-the-line forecasts tend to do better than cheap-talk forecasts, even if the cheap-talk is from an independent analyst.
Said Tim Harford, talking about real estate derivatives. Felix Salmon disagrees.
Terrorism Futures = Repugnant Market?
In discussing “Repugnant Markets” on BBC Radio, Tim Harford talks to Robin Hanson about the cancellation of the proposed Policy Analysis Market: HANSON: So on Monday morning two senators you know denounced the project and the very next morning the … Continue reading