Tag Archives: Tim Harford

Tim Harford: Trial, error and the God complex — [VIDEO]

Posted on July 16, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Economics, History, Individual Intelligence - Anti Consensus | Tagged complex systems, Economics, intelligence, systems, Tim Harford | Leave a comment

Tim Harford is a paperback writer.

Posted on February 24, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

US edition (paperback): Tim Harford, The Logic Of Life – UK edition (paperback): Tim Harford, The Logic Of Life -

Posted in Economics, Resources - References | Tagged Amazon, books, Economics, economists, paperback, The Logic Of Life, Tim Harford | Leave a comment

Do Google’s enterprise prediction markets work? — Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google

Posted on March 26, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google – (PDF file – PDF file) – by Bo Cowgill, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitwewitz – 2008-01-06 – VIDEO — Bo Cowgill on Google’s enterprise prediction markets — O’Reilly Money:Tech … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Analysis (Meta), Business, Cases, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged accuracy, active trader, advanced researcher, anonymous trading, architect, Bo Cowgill, CDA model for their markets, CEO, Chief Economist, computer-aided facility management systems, corporate applications, corporate prediction markets, crowd-wisdom applications, demographic networks, Doug Banks, economist, efficieny, Enterprise prediction market consultant, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Schmidt, Eric Zitwewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, gas prices, Google, Google Using Prediction, Google's enterprise prediction markets, Google's prediction exchange, Google's prediction markets, GPS, Hal Varian, high profile applications, Ilya Kirnos, implicit social networks, internal prediction markets, James Surowiecki, Jed Christiansen, Justin Wolfers, language networks, Linux, Michael Giberson, open-source software, Patri Friedman, Piaw Na, prediction markets, Prime Minister, Private, private prediction markets, real estate management group, Robin Hanson, Social Networks, social/professional networks, software engineers, software-and-consulting model, the New York Times, Tim Harford, Trader, ubiquitous communication technology, United States, USD, value applications, Zubin Jelveh | 18 Comments

Tim Harford on office micro-geography (and Google’s enterprise prediction markets)

Posted on January 24, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Tim Harford: [...] We keep being told that because of cheap, ubiquitous communication technology, distance is dead. But if there was ever a company that we should expect to exemplify that idea, surely it was Google. This research suggests that … Continue reading →

Posted in Business, Cases, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged corporate prediction markets, Dartmouth College, economic analyst, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, micro-geography, organizational sociology, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Tim Harford, ubiquitous communication technology, University of Pennsylvania | 1 Comment

The Logic Of Life — by Tim Harford

Posted on January 11, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

YouTube video It’s too short!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted in Economics | Tagged The Logic Of Life, Tim Harford, YouTube | Leave a comment

Prediction Market Industry Association = useless, so far

Posted on January 10, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

We have witnessed a backlash against the prediction markets just after the Hew Hampshire fiasco. Some bloggers and journalists picked on the prediction markets (InTrade, that is), even though both the polls and the pundits were awfully wrong too. [*] … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Prediction Journalism | Tagged Adam, Adam Siegel, blog, bloggers, Chris Masse, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Everyday Economist, Felix Salmon, George Tziralis, Jason Ruspini, Jed Christiansen, John Tierney, Jonathan Kennedy, Justin Wolfers, Lance Fortnow, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Mike Giberson, Nigel Eccles, PMIA, polls, Prediction Market Industry Association, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Sean Park, Steve Roman, the New York Times, Tim Harford, Wall Street Journal | 5 Comments

The Undercover Economist

Posted on November 28, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Undercover Economist = Tim Harford’s blog — [ Tim Harford's LinkedIn profile ] His blog feed (a.k.a. RSS): http://blogs.ft.com/undercover/rss.xml I recommend Google Reader, as your feed reader.

Posted in Resources - References | Tagged Google, The Undercover Economist, Tim Harford, Undercover Economist | Leave a comment

Money-on-the-line forecasts tend to do better than cheap-talk forecasts, even if the cheap-talk is from an independent analyst.

Posted on November 28, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Said Tim Harford, talking about real estate derivatives. Felix Salmon disagrees.

Posted in Finance, The Global Economy | Tagged derivatives, Felix Salmon, futures, house prices, independent analyst, real estate, real estate derivatives, Tim Harford | Leave a comment

Tim Harford’s audio piece, REPUGNANT MARKETS, is very good.

Posted on July 14, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Tim Harford’s Repugnant Markets — Audio link at the top right corner of the page: BBC AUDIO FILE – - Very interesting; – The quality of the sound is great —even the interviewees. Previous: Terrorism Futures = Repugnant Market? – … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Finance | Tagged Max Keiser, Michael Giberson, prediction markets, Tim Harford | 3 Comments

Terrorism Futures = Repugnant Market?

Posted on July 13, 2007 by Michael Giberson

In discussing “Repugnant Markets” on BBC Radio, Tim Harford talks to Robin Hanson about the cancellation of the proposed Policy Analysis Market: HANSON: So on Monday morning two senators you know denounced the project and the very next morning the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged advisor, Arafat, BBC Radio, life insurance, North Korea, Pentagon, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, sample web page, secretary of defense, Tim Harford | 14 Comments

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