Tag Archives: Taiwan

The Center for Prediction Markets, the biggest in the Chinese language, will try to call Taiwan’s presidential election on March 22, 2009.

NewsWeek Via research scientist David Pennock of YooPick fame. His Majesty attracts our attention on the fact that the article discusses (briefly) both play money and real money. – Center for Prediction Markets – Taiwan

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Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Labs (with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo) – - Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.) Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) … Continue reading

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Polls Vs. Prediction Markets

- Asia Times: [...] Outperforming Taiwan’s polls shouldn’t be hard. They’re notoriously bad as a forecast of election outcomes. In late 2006, for example, many media polls underrated the pro-independence party’s support – a recurring problem. Taiwan’s prediction markets did … Continue reading

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Is NewsFutures the first Western prediction market firm to bring prediction markets to Asia?

Of course, there are prediction market scholars and entrepreneurs in Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and India. But was NewFutures the first Western prediction market company to export its services to Asia? In 2004, NewsFutures got their first Asian client, Dentsu … Continue reading

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Contract Expiry — Irish Edition

InTrade-TradeSports: Settlement and expiry will be based on official announcements from (but not limited to) the White House or Department of Justice and reported in three independent and reliable media sources. InTrade-TradeSports: Any action must be officially and publicly announced … Continue reading

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