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Tag Archives: Supreme Court Of The United States
Prediction markets have failed at forecasting correctly an important event —*once again*.
LAT: Sonia Sotomayor is Obama’s Supreme Court nominee. Via our good friend Daniel Horowitz Previously: Prediction markets failed miserably at forecasting accurately the American Idol winner.
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged Barack Obama, InTrade, prediction markets, SCOTUS, Sonia Sotomayor, Supreme Court Of The United States, Supreme Justices, US Supreme Court Of Justice
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