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Tag Archives: strikes
What I mean by “advanced” and “retarded”
- An event is “advanced” when it is before the others on the timeline. – An event is “retarded” when it is after the others on the timeline. – - I use the term “advanced, primary indicator” to talk about … Continue reading →
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Miscellaneous, Psychology, Science
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Tagged advanced, bombing, bombs, Central Intelligence Agency, chief, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, InTrade trader, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, Mossad, Pentagon, physics, prediction markets, retarded, Says Any Attack, strikes, time, U.S. military, United States, USD, war
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Clueless and retarded InTrade traders (“the sheep”) can’t take “no” for an answer. — Short sellers (“the wolves”) will BBQ them.
Still trading at 30% this Thursday morning. – - – US Military Chief Says Any Attack on Iran Would be Destabilizing. – Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged bombing, bombs, chief, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, prediction markets, Says Any Attack, strikes, U.S. military, United States, USD, war
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Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged bombing, bombs, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Iran, Israel, prediction markets, strikes, war
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We interrupt this bulletin devoted to the upcoming CFTC ruling to inform you that we’re afraid that your “Israel-bombs-Iran-in-2008″ event derivatives are now completely… WORTHLESS —unless you’re a short seller.
Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not imminent. – - Explainer On Prediction Markets Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of future events by aggregating … Continue reading →
The “Israel bombs Iran” event derivative at InTrade should go further than the end of December 2008 to be fully useful.
They need to create contracts for 2009 —since Barack Obama takes office in January 2009, and since the timeframe given by that Israeli spy covers 2008 S2 and 2009 S1. See my post on Midas Oracle .COM for more on … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets
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Tagged Barack Obama, bombs. bombins, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, spy, strikes, war
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