Tag Archives: Steven Cherry

Dan Gross is wrong about the (in)utility of the prediction markets.

… says the Spectrum blogger (Steven Cherry), in a long defense.

Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Incidental Odds?

Bet on It! – (page two – page three) – by Spectrum’s Steven Cherry [...] A commercial exchange such as Tradesports, however, is in the business of making money; the fact that it generates useful information is only an incidental … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , | Leave a comment

InTrade-TradeSports is still plagued by the North Korea Missile scandal.

Any good journalist writing up a piece on InTrade or interviewing John Delaney does mention the North Korea Missile scandal. — Bet on It! – (page two – page three + a crappy listing of exchanges) – by Spectrum’s Steven … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Prediction markets is a meta forecasting tool.

Bet on It! – (page two – page three + a crappy listing of exchanges) – by Steven Cherry [...] Chris F. Masse, a [] consultant in Sophia Antipolis, France, who specializes in prediction markets, says that by 2010, “10 … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Spectrum has a long article on prediction markets.

Bet on It! – (page two – page three + a crappy listing of exchanges) – by Steven Cherry In August 2004, Todd Proebsting, a researcher in Microsoft’s platform and services division, was approached by a manager in the company’s … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments