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Tag Archives: St. Louis
BetFair accurately predicted the direction of the interest rate change, but was too shy in its prediction of the amplitude of the interest rate change.
BetFair predicted: -0,25 The Fed decided: -0.50 That’s for the absolute accuracy. Now, what counts is the relative accuracy —the comparison between the prediction made by BetFair and the predictions made by the financial markets experts. I see that the … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Ben S. Bernanke, Bloomberg, Board of Governors, Boston, chairman, Charles L. Evans, Cleveland, Donald L. Kohn, Eric Rosengren, Federal Open Market Committee, Federal Reserve System, Felix Salmon, Frederic S. Mishkin, Kansas City, Kevin M. Warsh, Minneapolis, New York, Niall O'Connor, Randall S. Kroszner, San Francisco, St. Louis, Thomas M. Hoenig, Timothy F. Geithner, Vice-Chairman, Wall Street, William Poole
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BetFair predicts: US Federal Funds Rate = 5%
What will be the change in US Federal Funds Rate at this month’s scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting? FOMC – September FOMC Current Rate 5.25% . – 0.25 UPDATE: BetFair accurately predicted the direction of the interest rate … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Ben S. Bernanke, Bloomberg, Board of Governors, Boston, chairman, Charles L. Evans, Cleveland, Donald L. Kohn, Eric Rosengren, Federal Open Market Committee, Federal Reserve System, Felix Salmon, FOMC, Frederic S. Mishkin, Kansas City, Kevin M. Warsh, Minneapolis, New York, Niall O'Connor, Randall S. Kroszner, San Francisco, St. Louis, Thomas M. Hoenig, Timothy F. Geithner, Vice-Chairman, Wall Street, William Poole
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What will the Fed do next?
In talking about the Fed’s likely next move, it’s useful first to review how we got to where we currently are. The Fed now clearly understands that it overdid the stimulus in 2002-2004, and brought us uncomfortably close to a … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets
Tagged Ben Bernanke, Chair, Delaware, Dow Jones Construction, energy, energy prices, Federal Reserve Bank, Federal Reserve System, food, food prices, President, St. Louis, though at that point it, William Poole, Wilmington
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