The “Israel bombs Iran” event derivative at InTrade should go further than the end of December 2008 to be fully useful.

Chris F. Masse — Sun, 29 Jun 2008 12:34:42 +0000

They need to create contracts for 2009 —since Barack Obama takes office in January 2009, and since the timeframe given by that Israeli spy covers 2008 S2 and 2009 S1. See my post on Midas Oracle .COM for more on … Continue reading →

U.S. Intelligence Community creates an internal Wikipedia. Will they use prediction markets, next?

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 18:57:47 +0000

Intellipedia: 16 U.S. spy agencies and their 3,600 intelligence professionals will now be using a custom Wikipedia.

My Questions: Are (public or internal, real-money or play-money) prediction markets next? Of course, I won’t mention the Policy Analysis Market. Let’s be pragmatic and let’s take an example. How would have prediction markets helped Boeing develop or market the Laser Airbone?

My Observation: Midas Oracle Post Authors who have access to the Google Analytics web stats reports can see that this site is being visited by many major US DOD contractors.

Midas Oracle .ORG » spy

The “Israel bombs Iran” event derivative at InTrade should go further than the end of December 2008 to be fully useful.

U.S. Intelligence Community creates an internal Wikipedia. Will they use prediction markets, next?