Tag Archives: sports betting markets

POLLS VERSUS PREDICTION MARKETS: Justin Wolfers retorts to Bob Erikson.

Justin Wolfers (in January 2008): 1. Bob and Chris has four elections in their data, so it is hard to draw too much from it. That said, I draw two conclusions. First, markets beat an unconditional use of polls as … Continue reading

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Betfair must display its revolutionary credentials.

When publishing its results for the year ended 30 April 2007, Betfair said that it was in a “Very strong cash position with 180m stg of corporate funds at the year end in addition to 174m of client funds held … Continue reading

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Justin Wolfers wants America’s sports bodies to allow sports betting so as to outlaw the quirky bets that induce corruption.

Justin Wolfers in the New York Times (Blow the Whistle on Betting Scandals) [...] Point-shaving is a crime of opportunity, and the opportunity comes from the structure of sports betting markets. The commissioners of the major sports need to address … Continue reading

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BetFair Case Study – Betting Exchange – Prediction Markets

Nisan Gabbay: Flutter was initially envisioned as an online betting community, where users could place bets against their friends and other members of the community. It could almost be thought of as the eBay for betting – users would list … Continue reading

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Reality Check on TradeSports-InTrade John Delaney’s Exil Statement

Speaking via Skype from Ireland, E.U., where he is now in exile, TEN CEO John Delaney made a number of points. Let’s check. (Note: This is the second version of his statement, on another URL.) — We have become regarded … Continue reading

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Benefits and non-benefits of sports betting markets

Chris Masse wrote this about ways in which sports betting markets could be used to catch fixed matches. He wrote this as a refutation to my comment that I enjoy gambling in semi-skill-based settings (poker, sports betting, election pools, etc.), … Continue reading

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Carving a legal niche for prediction exchanges in the U.S.

David Pennock favors the Hahn–Tetlock economic purpose test, “in the current legal and political environment”. Hahn and Tetlock argue that presidential betting would pass their economic purpose test, and that sports betting would not pass their test. However, one can … Continue reading

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