Tag Archives: Sonia Sotomayor

Sonia Sotomayor Displays a Lack of Deep Thinking.

Posted on July 16, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Sonia Sotomayor is not a Cass Sunstein.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Humor, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Posted on June 1, 2009 by Ryan

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Prediction markets have failed at forecasting correctly an important event —*once again*.

Posted on May 26, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

LAT: Sonia Sotomayor is Obama’s Supreme Court nominee. Via our good friend Daniel Horowitz Previously: Prediction markets failed miserably at forecasting accurately the American Idol winner.

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Posted on May 4, 2009 by Ryan

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment