Tag Archives: software sales

InTrade prediction markets on the battle between Blu-Ray and HD-DVD

2 facts I got from the New York Times: According to data from Adams Media Research, 578,000 HD DVD and 370,000 Blu-ray machines will be sold by the end of this year. As an indication of their owners’ enthusiasm, Blu-ray … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Wanna infiltrate the media with exchange odds? Hire an analyst, and he/she’ll spin them.

Game Informer: 7. On each platform, what will be the biggest seller? Jesse Divnich (of The Sim Exchange): The prediction market has made that pretty clear. Wii – Mario Galaxy – 2.0 and 1.99 million units for November and December … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The simExchange on July video game sales

This is the fifth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on console hardware and the second month, the simExchange has traded contracts on 10 software SKUs. Contracts are settled against the NPD Group’s monthly unit sales … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment