Meta
-
Recent Posts
- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: Socialist candidate
Intra-Debate and Post-Debate Prediction Markets
= Prediction markets monitored during and after a political debate shown on national TV, and compared to the talking heads’ sentiments. — Caveat Bettor liked the section of Emile Servan-Schreiber’s blog post about the NewsFutures prediction markets plebisciting French Republican … Continue reading
FRANCE: The Chirac Switch Project
The election of Republican Nicolas Sarkozy (a believer in free markets) as French President is a certainty. For your information, last Wednesday, there was a debate between the Socialist candidate (Segolene Royal, the woman) and him. Two days later (on … Continue reading
Christopher Dickey of NewsWeek has a screw loose.
French Presidential Elections Christopher Dickey: Sarko Has the Best Plan, But French Voters Don’t Want It. [...] On paper, Nicolas Sarkozy offers France its best hope for change. [...] He would cut taxes, free up the labor market, encourage people … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
Tagged Christopher Dicke, Christopher Dickey, current presidential candidate, David Geffen, economics professor, France, French House of Representatives, French political elections, Huey Long, Jacques Seguela, London, Matthew Parris, minimum services, MIT, NewsWeek, Nicolas Sarkozy, Olivier Blanchard, President, RTL, Rudy Giuliani, Socialist candidate, the Times, USD
Leave a comment
Former chief economic adviser on French presidential candidate, Socialist Segolene Royal
WITH FRIENDS LIKE ERIC BESSON, DOES SHE NEED ENEMIES?? — The Economist: [...] One man who thinks he can explain Ms Royal is Eric Besson, her former chief economic adviser, who quit during this campaign. In a book shot through … Continue reading
MIDAS ORACLE PROCLAIMS REPUBLICAN NICOLAS SARKOZY AS THE FRENCH PRESIDENT-ELECT.
#1. Results of the first round: Republican Nicolas Sarkozy (31.2%), Socialist Segolene Royal (25.9%) —updated Then come Centrist Francois Bayrou (18.6%), Right-Wing Extremist Jean-Marie Le Pen (10.4%) and then the “small” candidates. #2. The second round will be in two … Continue reading
NEXT SUNDAY, THE FRENCH WILL ELECT REPUBLICAN NICOLAS SARKOZY AS THEIR PRESIDENT.
The Economist tells me I should vote for Nicolas Sarkozy. Well… if they really think he’s “the man”… The French presidential election France’s chance Apr 12th 2007 From The Economist print edition After a quarter-century of drift Nicolas Sarkozy offers … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
Tagged America, Britain, candidate, coddled public services, economist, Europe, European Central Bank, European Union, Finance, finance minister, François Mitterrand, France, Francois Bayrou, interior minister, Ireland, Jacques Chirac, Jean-Marie Le Pen, leader, minister, National Front, Nicolas Sarkozy, Open Institute Of Prediction Markets, Paris railway station, Politician, President, Socialist candidate, Spain, The Economist, The Netherlands, Tony Blair, Turkey, UMP party, welfare systems, western Europe
7 Comments
France: a Republican President is looming.
The Woman: Segolene Royal (Socialist): 41% The Man: Nicolas Sarokozy (Republican): 54% Technical Note: BetFair probabilities are not accessible thru the Web interface (the prediction market sub-window freezes before giving the data), so I went to BetFair Lite and took … Continue reading
Who will be the next French president?
BetFair has the most liquid real-money prediction markets on this topic. – Nicolas Sarkozy (the man – Republican): 45.9% –> 46.3% – Segolene Royal (the woman – Socialist): 54.1% –> 47.6% Good: the Socialist candidate is sinking a bit, since … Continue reading
Segolene Royal probability: 51% or 53%?? – REDUX
Following my previous posting, EJSS has corrected the NewsFutures page on the French president prediction market, which now gives the same probability for both the chart and the top of the page: Post Scriptum: The ethereal Segolene Royal (the Socialist … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
Tagged France, President, RTL, Socialist candidate
Leave a comment