Tag Archives: Snape

The NewsFutures expiry judgment statements should not be elliptic.

Posted on August 9, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

To be respected, a judgment should be respectable. At the minimum, it should be stated. — FOREWORD: As I wrote in my previous blog post on the Harry Potter prediction market, I think that NewsFutures did a good job on … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Betting, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

British bookmaker William Hill pays both sides on the Harry Potter bet.

Posted on August 8, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Via Niall O’Connor, Bloomberg: William Hill Plc, a London-based bookmaker, will pay out on a number of bets on the fate of Harry Potter because of an “ambiguous ending” to the seventh and final novel about the boy wizard. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Betting, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

THE FATE OF HARRY POTTER IN J.K. ROWLING’S 7TH BOOK, THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: prediction market vs. bookmaker

Posted on July 23, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

SPOILER ALERT: MIDAS ORACLE IS REVEALING WHO DIES IN HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS. IF YOU DON’T WANT TO KNOW, STOP READING. (Hit your back button.) — — Pioneer Press: Here’s the good news: Harry [Potter], Ron, Hermione, Ginny … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments