Tag Archives: Senator

Are you a better predictor than John McCain?

Posted on March 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Via Bo Cowgill of Google, via Foreign Policy, John McCain: – They would do anything to sell politics, these days. – Foreign Policy: It’s a clever marketing ploy by team McCain, but why stop there? Why not have the candidate … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged basketball, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Google, InTrade, Israel, John McCain, Pakistan, prediction markets, Predictions, President, Senator, United States | 2 Comments

Unlike polls, prediction markets give incentives to think carefully.

Posted on February 14, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Via Wall Street investor and blogger Barry Ritholtz, the Wall Street Journal: [...] Since the election season began, investors on Intrade have risked $4.6 million in trades on Sen. Clinton and $3.4 million on Sen. Obama. [...] Robin Hanson, an … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Clinton, economics professor, George Mason University, InTrade, Obama, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Senator, USD, Virginia, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

The New Hampshire Hypothesis

Posted on January 11, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Finally, the BetFair blog publishes one interesting post. It was about time. From our usual British suspect, professor Leighton Vaughan-Williams (who was on ABC News lately) —who else. How did everyone get New Hampshire so horribly wrong? These are the … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged ABC, accuracy, Barack Obama, BetFair, Betting Research Unit, Director, Director of the Political Forecasting Unit and Betting Research Unit, event derivative markets, event derivatives, First Lady, Hillary Clinton, Illinois, InTrade, Iowa, John McCain, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Mike Huckabee, New Hampshire, New York, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University, Political Forecasting Unit, prediction markets, Professor, Senate, Senator, United States Senate | Leave a comment

My understanding was that she wasnâ€™t Treasury secretary in the Clinton administration, so I donâ€™t know exactly what experiences sheâ€™s claiming.

Posted on December 12, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Barak Obama on Hillary Clinton. Everybody laughed. New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd (in a November column) continues: Hillary [Clinton] did not show good judgment in her areas of influence â€” the legal fiefdom, health care and running oppo-campaigns against … Continue reading →

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Humor, Politics | Tagged Barak Obama, Boston, Clinton administration, columnist, Dianne Feinstein, Hillary Clinton, Joan Di Cola, lawyer, Madam Speaker, Maureen Dowd, mayor, Nancy Pelosi, New York Times, President, San Francisco, Senator, The Wall Street Journal, treasury secretary, United States, US political elections, US President, US presidential elections, Yale | Leave a comment

Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation letter – November 6, 2006

Posted on September 5, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation as US Secretary of Defense (PDF file): Donald Rumsfeld announced his resignation in this letter. InTrade can expire a Rumsfeld resignation event derivative on the basis of this letter. In the Larry Craig case, where the US … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Politics | Tagged Craig, Dan Whiting, Donald Rumsfeld, New York Times, secretary of defense, Senator, spokesman for Mr. Craig, United States | Leave a comment

InTrade expired the Larry Craig prediction market too early.

Posted on September 5, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Scroll down the whole story and judge by yourself, folks. — New York Times: â€œAs he stated on Saturday, Senator Craig intends to resign on Sept. 30,â€ Mr. [Dan Whiting, a spokesman for Mr. Craig] said in a statement. â€œHowever, … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged artist, Associated Press, Bill Sali, BOISE, business media outlets, C.L. ''Butch'' Otter, CEO, Chris Masse, Craig Announces Intent, Craig Announces, Craig's committee, Dan Whiting, Donald Rumsfeld, energy, governor, Idaho, immediate counsel, InTrade, Ireland, John Delaney, judge, Kirk Sullivan, Larry Craig, leader, lobbyist, media sources, Minneapolis airport, Minnesota, Minnesota Police, New York Times, non-sports prediction markets, prediction markets, public official, Reiki, Senate, Senate GOP, Senator, Shae, spokesman, spokesman for Mr. Craig, Suzanne, the New York Times, Tom Luna, United States, United States Senate, USD, Washington, William E. Borah, www.attorneykennugent.com/library/i.html, www.austin.cc.tx.us/sbramme2/Glossary.htm, www.eoni.com/~visionquest/library/glossary.html, www.iejs.com/glossary/Glossary_I.htm, www.learner.org/channel/workshops/artsineveryclassroom/p1popups/vocabulary.html, www.reikithehealingpath.com/reiki_glossary.htm, www.voyager.in/Larceny, www5.aaos.org/oko/vb/online_pubs/professional_liability/glossary.cfm | 5 Comments

Senator Obama’s statement that kindergartners should be given sex education is the first serious mistake of his campaign, and Republicans are quickly going to move in to take advantage of it.

Posted on July 25, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Tony Blankley — Excerpt of the rest of the discussion: MS. CLIFT: There are actually 51 Democrats, although Joe Lieberman generally votes with the Republicans – MR. MCLAUGHLIN: What do you do with Lieberman? MS. CLIFT: — and Tim Johnson … Continue reading →

Posted in Politics | Tagged Joe Lieberman, Obama, Senator, Tim Johnson, Tony Blankley, Vitter | Leave a comment

Washington sex scandal prediction markets, anyone??

Posted on July 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Hustler publisher Larry Flynt is on a hunt. The threat this cycle is particularly potent because Flynt has two ways of digging up the dirt: He and his team are plowing through [D.C. Madam]‘s client telephone list and, separately, he … Continue reading →

Posted in Politics | Tagged client telephone list, Congressman, Larry Flynt, Republican Party, Senator, USD, Washington | Leave a comment

The Society of Professional Journalists has a winner. –> US Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ)

Posted on June 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

SPJ: Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) has admitted that he put a secret hold on the Open Government Act of 2007. Wikipedia: Online Gambling Ban In September 2006, working with former congressman Jim Leach, Jon Kyl was a major Senate supporter … Continue reading →

Posted in Politics, Regulations | Tagged Congress, Congressional committee, Congressman, Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, Jim Leach, John Kyl, Jon Kyl, Senate, Senator, Society of Professional Journalists, United States | Leave a comment

Let’s unmask Senator Secrecy.

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Society of Professional Journalists: The nation needs your help. On April 12, the Senate Judiciary Committee unanimously passed the Open Government Act, sponsored by Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT) and Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX). The bill would strengthen the federal Freedom … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Politics | Tagged John Cornyn, Judiciary Committee, Patrick Leahy, Secrecy, Senate, Senator, Society of Professional Journalists, Ted Stevens, U.S. House of Representatives, United States, unknown senator | 1 Comment

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