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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; Scientific Advisory Board</title>
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	<description>Prediction Markets, etc.</description>
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		<title>The Absence of Teams In Production of Blog Journalism</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/19/the-absence-of-teams-in-production-of-blog-journalism/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/19/the-absence-of-teams-in-production-of-blog-journalism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Apr 2008 09:29:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Prediction Journalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blog author]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bloggers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blogging]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[co-authors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[co-bloggers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Journalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Wolfers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[knowledge production]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Giberson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scientific Advisory Board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Levitt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web convention]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WordPress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WordPress administration]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=6654</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Justin Wolfers at Freakonomics published the link to an interesting paper, &#8220;The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge&#8221; [PDF file]: The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge We have used 19.9 million papers over 5 decades &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/19/the-absence-of-teams-in-production-of-blog-journalism/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a title="Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon: Economistsâ€™ Version" href="http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/04/01/six-degrees-of-kevin-bacon-economists-version/">Justin Wolfers at Freakonomics published the link</a> to an interesting paper, &#8220;The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge&#8221; [<a title="The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge" href="http://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/jones-ben/htm/Teams.PrintVersion.pdf">PDF file</a>]:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">We have used 19.9 million papers over 5 decades and 2.1 million patents to demonstrate that teams increasingly dominate solo authors in the production of knowledge. Research is increasingly done in teams across nearly all fields. <strong>Teams typically produce more frequently cited research than individuals do, and this advantage has been increasing over time. Teams now also produce the exceptionally high-impact research, even where that distinction was once the domain of solo authors.</strong> These results are detailed for sciences and engineering, social sciences, arts and humanities, and patents, suggesting that <strong><em>the process of knowledge creation has fundamentally changed</em>.</strong></p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Currently, any group blog (like Freakonomics or Midas Oracle) is in fact an aggregation of solo blogs &#8212;in the example above, Justin Wolfers wrote his blog post without the assistance of Steve Levitt (just like I&#8217;m writing this present blog post without the direct supervision of our <a title="Our Mission Statement, Boards And Projects" href="http://www.midasoracle.org/about/mission/">Scientific Advisory Board chief Michael Giberson</a>).</p>
<p><strong>In the future, I foresee a process where a <a href="http://ma.tt/">blog</a> <a href="http://wordpress.com/">post</a> could be written by at least 2 bloggers (i.e., 2 co-authors).</strong> I have looked into this issue, and concluded that <a href="http://wordpress.org/">WordPress</a> is <a title="WordPress is a bit like WikiMedia (the software powering Wikipedia), now." href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/05/wordpress-is-a-bit-like-wikimedia-the-software-powering-wikipedia-now/">not yet ready for that</a>. But it&#8217;s coming&#8230; It&#8217;s coming&#8230; Push&#8230; Push&#8230; <img src='http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif' alt=':-D' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>-</p>
<p><strong><em>Technical Note on <a title="Midas Oracle is now powered by WordPress 2.5 â€”and you should be too." href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/05/midas-oracle-wordpress-2-5/">WordPress 2.5</a></em>:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>I regret that, in <a title="WordPress 2.5" href="http://wordpress.org/development/2008/03/wordpress-25-brecker/">WordPress 2.5</a>, it&#8217;s now <strong>impossible to sort post archives <em>by blog author</em>.</strong> <img src='http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_sad.gif' alt=':(' class='wp-smiley' />  WordPress is written by young white males who don&#8217;t have any experience with group blogs and blog communities.</li>
<li>The usability bozos who overhauled the WordPress administration menus decided that <a title=" How do you edit a comment in WordPress 2.5?" href="http://markjaquith.wordpress.com/2008/04/18/how-do-you-edit-a-comment-in-wordpress-25/">you now have to click on a post/comment title to <em>edit</em> it</a> <img src='http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_sad.gif' alt=':(' class='wp-smiley' />  &#8212;thus <strong>breaking the Web convention which says that you click on a weblink to open it, <em>not to edit it</em>.</strong> &#8230; Iâ€™m <a href="http://www.zeldman.com/2008/03/29/wordpress-25-unleashed/#comment-34651">not</a><a href="http://www.zeldman.com/2008/03/29/wordpress-25-unleashed/#comment-34651"> the</a> <a href="http://weblogtoolscollection.com/archives/2008/04/01/faq-on-wordpress-25/">only</a> <a href="http://realtech.burningbird.net/semweb/wordpress-25-releases/#comment-704">one</a> <a href="http://wordpress.org/support/topic/169401">having</a> <a href="http://wordpress.org/support/topic/164322">trouble</a> <a href="http://wordpress.org/support/topic/164375">with</a> <a href="http://wordpress.org/support/topic/164595">this</a>.</li>
</ol>
<p>-</p>
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		<title>Robin Hanson wants to rule the world &#8212;just as CEOs and heads of states do for a living.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/03/27/robin-hanson-wants-to-rule-the-world-just-as-ceos-and-heads-of-states-do-for-a-living/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/03/27/robin-hanson-wants-to-rule-the-world-just-as-ceos-and-heads-of-states-do-for-a-living/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 16:36:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Collective Decision Making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Collective Forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Humor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Midas Oracle Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boards Of Advisor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economists]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Giberson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Midas Oracle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NewsFutures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prestige value]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Robin Hanson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scientific Advisory Board]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/03/27/robin-hanson-wants-to-rule-the-world-just-as-ceos-and-heads-of-states-do-for-a-living/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Our Master Of All Universes moans that the Free World&#8217;s private and public decision makers rarely or never ask him for advice &#8212;even though he sits on many &#8220;Boards Of Advisors&#8221; (like NewsFutures&#8216; one), which are, by definition, set up &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/03/27/robin-hanson-wants-to-rule-the-world-just-as-ceos-and-heads-of-states-do-for-a-living/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a title="Boards of Advisors Don't Advise, Do Board" href="http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/03/boards-of-advis.html">Our <strong>Master Of All Universes</strong> moans that the Free World&#8217;s private and public decision makers rarely or never ask him for advice</a> &#8212;even though he sits on many &#8220;Boards Of Advisors&#8221; (like<a href="http://us.newsfutures.com/home/sab.html"> <strong>NewsFutures</strong>&#8216; one</a>), which are, by definition, set up to <em>provide advice</em> &#8212;or so he thought, at inception. How come CEOs and heads of states are not imploring him for advice to help them run the word, he asks. He blogs that <strong>advisers are probably paid primarily for the prestige value that they lend to the company.</strong></p>
<p>Which leads me to realize that I pay zero French franc for having economist <strong><a title="Michael Giberson" href="http://www.gibersonco.com/">Michael Giberson</a></strong> on our <a title="Our Mission Statement, Boards And Projects" href="http://www.midasoracle.org/about/mission/">Scientific Advisory Board</a>, <em>which is quite about what his prestige is worth in the field of prediction markets</em>, as of today. <img src='http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif' alt=':-D' class='wp-smiley' />  That might change in the future, though &#8212;especially if I continue to flatter him publicly in posts like this present one. He might suffer from ego inflation and charge me for using his so-called <strong>&#8220;prestige value&#8221;.</strong> All economists, be damned. They are as greedy as the people they study.</p>
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		<title>Should prediction exchanges and software vendors have their own Scientific Advisory Board?</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/05/should-prediction-exchanges-and-software-vendors-have-their-own-scientific-advisory-board/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/05/should-prediction-exchanges-and-software-vendors-have-their-own-scientific-advisory-board/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Nov 2007 17:58:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis (Industry)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exchanges & Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scientific Advisory Board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software vendors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/05/should-prediction-exchanges-and-software-vendors-have-their-own-scientific-advisory-board/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[BetFair, TradeSports-Intrade and Betdaq don&#8217;t have any &#8212;and they are doing great. (InTrade has great connections with the US-based economists, it should be noted.) NewsFutures has one. Xpree has one. Consensus Point has an informal one, it seems. As for &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/05/should-prediction-exchanges-and-software-vendors-have-their-own-scientific-advisory-board/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BetFair, TradeSports-Intrade and Betdaq don&#8217;t have any &#8212;and they are doing great. <img src='http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif' alt=':-D' class='wp-smiley' />  (InTrade has great connections with the US-based economists, it should be noted.)  NewsFutures has one. Xpree has one. Consensus Point has an informal one, it seems. As for Inkling Markets, let&#8217;s leave it blank, for now. <strong>HedgeStreet had the best and most impressive advisory board one could have &#8212;it didn&#8217;t preclude <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/10/02/is-it-the-end-for-us-based-betting-exchange-hedgestreet/" title="Is it the end for US-based betting exchange HedgeStreet?">their wreckage</a>.</strong> <img src='http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif' alt=':-D' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<blockquote><p><img src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2007/11/advisory-board.jpg" alt="HedgeStreet Advisory Board" /></p></blockquote>
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