Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Scientific Advisory Board

The Absence of Teams In Production of Blog Journalism

Justin Wolfers at Freakonomics published the link to an interesting paper, “The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge” [PDF file]:
The Increasing Dominance of Teams in Production of Knowledge
We have used 19.9 million papers over 5 decades and 2.1 million patents to demonstrate that teams increasingly dominate solo authors in the production of knowledge. [...]

Robin Hanson wants to rule the world —just as CEOs and heads of states do for a living.

Our Master Of All Universes moans that the Free World’s private and public decision makers rarely or never ask him for advice —even though he sits on many “Boards Of Advisors” (like NewsFutures‘ one), which are, by definition, set up to provide advice —or so he thought, at inception. How come CEOs and heads of [...]

Should prediction exchanges and software vendors have their own Scientific Advisory Board?

BetFair, TradeSports-Intrade and Betdaq don’t have any —and they are doing great. (InTrade has great connections with the US-based economists, it should be noted.) NewsFutures has one. Xpree has one. Consensus Point has an informal one, it seems. As for Inkling Markets, let’s leave it blank, for now. HedgeStreet had the best [...]

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