Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Says Any Attack

What I mean by “advanced” and “retarded”

- An event is “advanced” when it is before the others on the timeline.
- An event is “retarded” when it is after the others on the timeline.
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- I use the term “advanced, primary indicator” to talk about the leading sources of information that active traders rely on.
- Last time, in the title, I said that [...]

Clueless and retarded InTrade traders (“the sheep”) can’t take “no” for an answer. — Short sellers (“the wolves”) will BBQ them.

Still trading at 30% this Thursday morning.
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- US Military Chief Says Any Attack on Iran Would be Destabilizing.
- Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not imminent.
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Explainer On Prediction Markets
Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of future events by aggregating [...]

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