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Tag Archives: San Francisco Fed

CRYING A RIVER: Justin Wolfers mourns the Economic Derivatives.

Written by Chris F. Masse on August 4, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Justin Wolfers in March 2007:
For those more interested in the actual research, our original research paper, recently published in the NBER International Seminar of Economics volume, is available here.
I also wrote a more digestible (that is, four page) version for the San Francisco Fed, available here. The NBER have also posted a useful summary [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged ,

The Economic Derivatives Market

Written by Justin Wolfers on March 8, 2007 — 1 Comment

For my money, the Economic Derivatives market is one of the most interesting prediction markets around. For starters, this market – run by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange – involves serious money, and it involves forecasting something we really care about – the future of the economy.
I started studying this market over a year ago [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , ,

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