Tag Archives: San Diego

The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

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eTech 2008 — Google’s enterprise prediction markets

O’Reilly Conference – eTech 2008: Prediction markets and the flow of information at Google – San Diego, California, USA – 2008-03-03~06

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Pennock & Sami on “Computational aspects of prediction markets”

Dave Pennock and Rahul Sami have written a book chapter on Computational Aspects of Prediction Markets. It focuses on computability and complexity issues in markets that handle combination, conditional and compound orders. The article talks about the costs for the … Continue reading

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Predictify, Inc. – Tap Into Collective Wisdom, Make Money by Predicting Future Events

Predictify, Inc. – Tap Into Collective Wisdom, Make Money by Predicting Future Events #1. Beta mode. On invitation only. Has someone gottten his/her hands on the “beta invite code”? #2. We don’t know yet whether it’s about prediction markets —could … Continue reading

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Volumes on InTrade are way up from 2004.

Just thought this might interest some of you: Total volume in 2004 Democratic nomination markets: $5.2 million (data is taken from a talk I gave in San Diego) Volume in 2008 Dem and GOP nomination markets (with 7 months to … Continue reading

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The Second Workshop on Prediction Markets

I spent some time in San Diego earlier this month for the The Second Workshop on Prediction Markets in conjunction with EC’07, which is part of FCRC 2007. The workshop was very successful. The participants were as diverse as one … Continue reading

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Is there a growing gap between the prediction market industry and the prediction market scholars??

Jed Christiansen: Overall, it was a good conference, though focused largely on academic topics in the field of prediction markets. Which is the reason why very few industry players did attend and participate in the June 2007′s Second Conference on … Continue reading

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Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – San Diego, California, U.S.A. – June 12, 2007

Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – San Diego, California, U.S.A. – June 12, 2007 — 8:30 – 8:35 Opening remark 4:45 – 5:45 Industrial Panel Russell Anderson, HedgeStreet Matthew Fogarty, Electronic Arts David Perry, Consensus Point Emile Servan-Schreiber, Newsfutures — … Continue reading

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Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – San Diego, California, U.S.A. – June 12, 2007

Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – San Diego, California, U.S.A. – June 12, 2007 The area of prediction markets faces challenges regarding how best to design, deploy, analyze, and understand prediction markets. One important research direction is designing mechanisms for … Continue reading

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Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – San Diego, California, U.S.A. – June 12, 2007

Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – San Diego, California, U.S.A. – June 12, 2007 — 8:30 – 8:35 Opening remark 8:35 – 9:30 Amit Gandhi, “Rational Expectations at the Racetrack : Testing Expected Utility Using Prediction Market Prices” (20 min) … Continue reading

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