Tag Archives: rival candidate
THE 2007-07-07 LUCKY DAY: Washington Post’s Slate.com links to Eric Zitzewitz’s piece on Midas Oracle.
Tim Harford:
The economists Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz have pointed out that Hillary Clinton’s chances of becoming president, as predicted by one betting market, InTrade, started to climb dramatically mid-May, topping 40 per cent after months of fluctuating between 20 and 30 per cent. Her odds of winning the Democratic nomination stayed around 50 per [...]
Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Also tagged Alex Forshaw, becoming president, Eric Zitzewitz, George Mason University, Hillary Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Justin Wolfers, prediction markets, President, Robin Hanson, Ryan Oprea, Tim Harford, Washington Post, Winning Party
Manipulation of the Hillary Clinton event derivative? Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz + Koleman Strumpf and Paul Rhode + Robin Hanson and Ryan Oprea
Tim Harford:
The economists Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz have pointed out that Hillary Clinton’s chances of becoming president, as predicted by one betting market, InTrade, started to climb dramatically mid-May, topping 40 per cent after months of fluctuating between 20 and 30 per cent. Her odds of winning the Democratic nomination stayed around 50 per [...]
Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
|
Also tagged becoming president, Eric Zitzewitz, George Mason University, Hillary Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Justin Wolfers, Koleman Strumpf, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Ryan Oprea , Tim, Ryan Oprea
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