Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: retail trading

Building Exits into CFTC Regulation

Much of my draft paper, Private Prediction Markets and the Law, focuses on nuts-and-bolts fixes for the legal uncertainty that currently afflicts private prediction markets under U.S. law. I’ll say more about those in later posts to Agoraphilia and Midas Oracle. The paper also dicusses a more theoretical and general issue, though: The [...]

Iowa Electronic Markets: only 3,000 speculators

Alan Boyle:
Neumann estimates that 3,000 people or so [COULD BE LESS] use their online accounts for the presidential contract-trading.
Pitiful.
Ludicrous minute numbers for a prediction exchange that is on the scene since day one (1988).
Laughable numbers.
Ridiculous numbers.
The commercial prediction exchanges (InTrade-TradeSports, BetFair, etc.) make a better job at evangelizing the prediction markets on politics (not just [...]

Search

Post Categories