Tag Archives: research director

The methodology of prediction market event study — Multiple Causes Edition — REDUX

Keith Jacks Gamble on Michael Abramowicz’s Gamble on Gambling on Keith Jacks Gamble’s Super Bowl Analysis Highlights: I agree that the simultaneity problem and the anticipation problem are confounding factors in assessing a player’s contribution to his team’s chance of … Continue reading

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Predictions of the future never seem to come true.

The Business Innovation Insider blog on this Wall Street Journal story: (4) In 1925, Harvey W. Corbett of the American Institute of Architects said, “Fifty years hence automobile traffic will have entirely disappeared from the surface thoroughfares of New York … Continue reading

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