Tag Archives: Republican Vice President
We interrupt this bulletin devoted to the upcoming CFTC ruling to inform you that we are afraid that your “Jim Webb becomes VP” event derivative is now totally worthless —unless you’re a short seller (a.k.a. a layer).
WEBB DOESN’T WANT TO BE VP.
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InTrade
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Democratic Vice President Nominee
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Republican Vice President Nominee
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BetFair
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Next Vice President:
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Democratic Ticket
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Democratic Vice President Nominee
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Republican Vice President Nominee
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NewsFutures
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Barack Obama will pick a woman as running mate.
© NewsFutures
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Explainer On Prediction Markets
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Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of future events by [...]
The New Republic profiles the next Vice President of the United States of America —Jim Webb, maybe.
Via mister Bo Cowgill
The New Republic
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Some British betting bloggers are completely out of the loop.
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UPDATE: Andrew Sullivan on Hillary Clinton’s exit statement. (He liked it.)
UPDATE: InTrade forum thread.
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InTrade
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Democratic Vice President Nominee
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Republican Vice President Nominee
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BetFair
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Next Vice President:
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Democratic Ticket
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Democratic Vice President Nominee
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Republican Vice President Nominee
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NewsFutures
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Barack Obama will [...]
Hillary Clinton won’t be on the Democratic ticket. — It’s not going to happen. — N-E-V-E-R. — Not a chance. — Period.
George Will:
[...] Surely she, the most polarizing Democrat, is not the only Democrat who can help Obama appeal to the voters who rejected him in Kentucky and West Virginia. And as his running mate, she would nullify his narrative. The candidate embracing the “future” should not glue himself to Washington circa 1993. Someone promising to [...]
Don’t trade on the VP predictions markets. — Don’t bet on Hillary Clinton as VP. — Don’t listen to betting bloggers who tell you that Hillary Clinton has a chance to be on the Democratic ticket. — Don’t believe in “vice presidential selection committees”. — Select well your primary, advanced indicators. — Choose your bets carefully.
The topic of this post is:
Betting & Information
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#1. Don’t trade on the VP predictions markets.
I have stong reservations about those VP prediction markets. Only 2 men in the world know what is going to happen: Barack Obama, and John McCain.
You can’t divine their final thoughts.
Politicians often lie about their intentions —they also change mind, frequently.
The [...]
JIMMY CARTER: Picking up Hillary Clinton on the Democratic ticket “would be the worst mistake that could be made”.
The Guardian
Take that, Mike R.
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Reminder: I have stong reservations about those VP prediction markets. (But Bo compels me to publish about them anyway. )
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InTrade
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Democratic Vice President Nominee
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Republican Vice President Nominee
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BetFair
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Next Vice President:
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Democratic Ticket
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Democratic Vice President Nominee
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Republican Vice President Nominee
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NewsFutures
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Barack Obama will pick [...]
Who will be the next US Vice President, past January 2009?
UPDATE:
- To be kept updated on the prediction markets, go to the frontpage of Midas Oracle, or click on the InTrade tag.
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Here are the expired contracts about the Democratic vice presidential nominee (Joe Biden).
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Here is the expired contract about the Repuiblican vice presidential nominee (Sarah Palin).
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ORIGINAL POST:
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Unlike Bo Cowgill, I have stong reservations about those [...]
STRAIGHT FROM OUR U-TURN DEPARTMENT: Here are the VP prediction markets —all of them.
Don’t you love the Web? Within 15 minutes after my posting my absolute and definitive refusal to publish any bits about the VP prediction markets, I received a long rebuttal by Google’s Bo Cowgill —whose great prediction market paper is still for you to download (PDF file), by the way.
Okay, Okay, Okay.
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InTrade
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Democratic Vice President Nominee
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