Tag Archives: Republican presidential candidate

Hedging your political ads on InTrade or the Iowa Electronic Markets

Centrist Messenger: How it works. Centrist Messenger will issue a refund of the purchase price of the advertisement, if and only if the single candidate that you selected as being supported by your ad does not win the general presidential … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Google employees submitted more questions for Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul than any other candidate who has visited the Mountain View campus before him.

Via Tech Crunch (which has a long and detailed blog post on Ron Paul’s Internet presence), this YouTube video of Ron Paul lecturing Google’s Bo Cowgill’s colleagues. Don’t miss a word of it, folks. Ron Paul’s official website for the … Continue reading

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Intra-Debate and Post-Debate Prediction Markets

= Prediction markets monitored during and after a political debate shown on national TV, and compared to the talking heads’ sentiments. — Caveat Bettor liked the section of Emile Servan-Schreiber’s blog post about the NewsFutures prediction markets plebisciting French Republican … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , | 6 Comments

The mainstream media try to silence Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul. It’s a giant conspiracy.

— The two-sentence excerpt run by NBC News (Brian Williams – Thursday, May 17, 2007): They attack us because we’ve been over there. We’ve been bombing Iraq for 10 years. And then Alan Greenspan’s spouse cut Ron Paul abruptly to … Continue reading

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Questions to Alex Forshaw

- Please, give me the name of the Democratic presidential candidate for 2008. – Please, give me the name of the Republican presidential candidate for 2008. – Plesase, give me the name of the next President of the United States … Continue reading

Posted in Politics | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments

Percentage Odds vs. Digital Odds

Chris Hibbert finally says good things on BetFair, but I don’t side with him on that one. At Overcoming Errors dot com (where the main error is not to provide a link to the BetFair site), Chris Hibbert writes: The … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Transaction Costs, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments