Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Reagan

Devoting the whole NBC Nightly News bulletin to Tim Russert’s passing was worst than beaming out porn.

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 14, 2008 — Leave a Comment

John Cole:
Let’s Get Something Straight
By: John Cole June 13, 2008 at 6:35 pm
I liked Tim Russert, even though I thought his BS gotcha nonsense was thorough idiocy and not helping the debate at all. He was a likable guy- friendly, always smiling. I understand it is a loss for the beltway folks, and [...]

Posted in Ethics, Politics, Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,

The mainstream media try to silence Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul. It’s a giant conspiracy.

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 16, 2007 — Leave a Comment

—
The two-sentence excerpt run by NBC News (Brian Williams – Thursday, May 17, 2007):
They attack us because we’ve been over there. We’ve been bombing Iraq for 10 years.
And then Alan Greenspan’s spouse cut Ron Paul abruptly to give air time to Rudy Giuliani, who caricatured Ron Paul’s views and crashed him like he was aiding [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

U of Chicago’s Professor Lance Fortnow comes out as a Barack Obama fanboy.

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 5, 2006 — 2 Comments

Lance Fortnow’s political coming out:
The Illinois politician garnishing the biggest praise is not even running this year, our junior senator and future president.
Also Long On Barack Obama: Ex-BBC News and political betting blogger Mike Smithson…
- Big poll boost for Obama backers
- The Time cover that’s sparked off the excitement
My Take On Barack Obama: A fine [...]

Posted in Politics | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,

Partisan impacts on the economy: Evidence from prediction markets and close elections – by Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz – REDUX

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 4, 2006 — Leave a Comment

The breaking news is that Professor Justin Wolfers (of the Wharton business school in Philadelphia) has responded to my unforeseeable attack and to the subsequent Mike Linksvayer’s comment.
A quick response to Chris:
Let me clarify what I think the key puzzle is: the odds of either Democrats or Republicans are – literally – unchanged since the [...]

Posted in Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , , , , , , , ,

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