Tag Archives: RCP

The 2008 US presidential election was “pretty close”, and Nate Silver’s state poll aggregation “pretty much nailed” it.

The pretty good Andrew Gelman: – This is a (not yet expired) static chart from InTrade on whether the RCP poll aggregation have been accurate:

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Yahoo! News ditch the political prediction markets.

The Yahoo! News US Political Dashboard was over-sold to us. We thought that Yahoo! News would promote the prediction markets. They did that for a very short period of time, but then they quickly back-pedaled, for some unknown reason. The … Continue reading

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