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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; Rafael Nadal</title>
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		<title>In a blow to the French, BetFair choose Bastille Day to premiere the revised version of the bet-matching logic of their prediction markets. &#8212; IMPROVEMENT MEANS BETTER LIQUIDITY FOR THEIR EVENT DERIVATIVE TRADERS.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/14/betfair-bet-matching-logic-7/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/14/betfair-bet-matching-logic-7/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jul 2008 09:05:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[- BetFair: Improvements to Betfairâ€™s bet matching logic today, Monday 14th July: Whatâ€™s changing? Weâ€™ve improved the code that matches bets. As well as matching backs against lays as weâ€™ve always done, weâ€™ll also try to match your bet against &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/14/betfair-bet-matching-logic-7/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.davidrsmith.com/gallerypages/tour_eiffel.htm"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-7509" title="tour-eiffel" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2008/07/toureiffel.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><a href="http://bdp.betfair.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=123&amp;Itemid=62">Bet</a><a href="http://site.forum.betfair.com/jive3/betex/ThreadsFrameset.jsp?forumID=9&amp;forumName=Service&amp;threadID=1541460&amp;tName=bet+matching+logic+-+update&amp;schatname=&amp;iMessageCount=4">Fair</a>:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Improvements to Betfairâ€™s bet matching logic today, Monday 14th July:</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Whatâ€™s changing?</strong><br />
Weâ€™ve improved the code that matches bets. As well as matching backs against lays as weâ€™ve always done, <strong>weâ€™ll also try to match your bet against bets on other selections in the market.</strong> Weâ€˜ll give you an improvement over the price youâ€˜ve requested where possible, and weâ€˜ll match you against whichever bets get you the best price.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>For example in a tennis market:</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Roger Federer is 1.9 to back, 2.1 to lay.<br />
Rafael Nadal is 1.8 to back, 2.0 to lay.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">If you try to back Federer at 1.9 or less, previously we would have matched your bet against the customer looking to lay Federer at 1.9. Both bets would have been matched at 1.9, even if youâ€˜d asked for a shorter price. In theory we could do even better than that though: we could match you against the customer trying to back Nadal at 2.0 (backing one player at 2.0 is of course the same as laying the other player at 2.0). <strong>Our new bet matching process will see which match gets you the better price.</strong> In this case we would get you 2.0 by matching you against the Nadal backer (who is offering a better price than the layer of Federer).</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>When placing a new bet you will only ever be matched by the new process if doing so gives you a better price than you would otherwise have got.</strong> We will match your bet at the best price possible thatâ€™s a valid increment on Betfairâ€™s odds ladder, as we explained in our update of 6th June.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Does this only work for 2-runner markets like tennis?</strong><br />
No. The new matching logic works for any number of runners in a market. An example with a 2-runner market is probably easiest to understand, but the principle is the same for markets with 3 runners or more. For example if a football market looked like this:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Spain 2.3 to back, 2.5 to lay<br />
Germany 3.9 to back, 4.0 to lay<br />
The Draw 2.9 to back, 3.0 to lay</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Then if you want to back Spain we could match you with customers looking to back Germany and the Draw at 4.0 and 3.0 respectively, which would result in you being matched at 2.4, a better price than you would have got had we matched you against Spain layers (who are only offering 2.3).</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Which markets will this affect?</strong><br />
Weâ€™ll introduce the new code on Monday 14th July, but initially matching will be done exactly as before. As explained earlier in the year, <strong>introducing best execution across selections wasnâ€™t possible without significant change to the existing code that matches backs and lays</strong>, so we will need verify that performance is as expected for the existing matching process before enabling the new functionality. All being well weâ€™ll enable the new code for a small number of markets to ensure that everything is as it should be later on Monday. Weâ€™ll announce which markets on Monday. Again if all is well weâ€™ll roll out to a wider range of markets on Tuesday.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Weâ€™d expect to match across selections on the same range of markets as we currently do:</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Match Odds in Basketball, Boxing, Cricket, Ice Hockey, Rugby League, Rugby Union, Snooker, Tennis and Volleyball, Greyhounds win markets, Darts match odds, correct score and handicaps and Soccer match odds, HT/FT, correct score and unders/overs.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Horse racing will not be covered for now, due to the possibility of non-runners,</strong> and the new process isnâ€™t applicable to markets where runners can be added (for example â€œNext managerâ€ markets), where runners listed might not take part (e.g. First Goalscorer) or where the runners in a particular â€œmarketâ€ are treated independently (e.g. Accumulators).</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>What about bets placed in error?</strong><br />
Weâ€™re aware of a concern that this change might make it more likely that customers would match bets placed in error, for example asking for 1.2 when you really wanted to back at 2.2. One consequence of the change weâ€™re making is that any bet you place is more likely to get matched &#8211; making it easier to get a match is the whole idea. Being realistic though, if you had placed a bet in error like that in the past, in the vast majority of cases you would have been matched (against lays on that selection). Thereâ€™ll now be far, far more circumstances where you would have been matched anyway , but instead youâ€™ll now get a better price, than situations where your bet would have been unmatched and you might have had the chance to cancel. <strong>On average we would expect customers who place bets in error to be better off as a result.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">On a related point, weâ€™d also expect this change to make it more difficult for people who place <strong>â€œtrap betsâ€</strong> to get matched (a trap bet is an offer that is only likely to be matched if another customer places a bet in error). While putting up â€œtrap betsâ€ is against Betfairâ€™s terms and conditions and we close the accounts of persistent offenders, on an exchange where any customer can ask for any price <strong>itâ€™s difficult to eradicate this practice.</strong> In most instances where a trap bet is the best price available on a selection, <strong>customers will in future be matched at better prices against bets on other selections</strong> rather than matching the trap bet.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>How will the change affect liquidity?</strong><br />
We would expect the change to be beneficial to liquidity. Obviously if we have opposing customer bets in the system that could be matched, whether on the same selection or across different selections, <strong>the best thing for liquidity is to match them.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">-</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Further to the above, weâ€™ll be enabling the improved matching on the following markets later today.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Football:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Czech Republic U19 vs. England U19<br />
FC Inter vs. MyPa</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Tennis:<br />
Andujar vs. Hanescu<br />
Minar vs. Rochus</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Greyhounds:<br />
11:28 Sheffield<br />
11:48 Oxford</p>
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		<title>BetFair-TradeFair fights corruption, while TradeSports-InTrade does not.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/26/betfair-tradefair-fights-corruption-while-tradesports-intrade-does-not/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/26/betfair-tradefair-fights-corruption-while-tradesports-intrade-does-not/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Nov 2007 05:58:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[&#8212; BetFair-TradeFair is legal and has ethics, while TradeSports-InTrade is not and has none. &#8212; Via Steve Roman who provides the recap and another excerpt, The New York Times: [...] At the center of the investigation is Betfair, one of &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/26/betfair-tradefair-fights-corruption-while-tradesports-intrade-does-not/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/25/sports/tennis/25tennis.html" title="Talk of Efforts to Fix Matches Rattles Pro Tennis"><img src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2007/11/tennis-nyt-corruption.jpg" alt="Tennis Corruption - NYT" /></a></p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p>BetFair-TradeFair is legal and has ethics, while TradeSports-InTrade is not and has none.</p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p><a href="http://nastybrutishandtall.com/2007/11/tennis-corruption-in-ny-times.html" title=" Tennis Corruption in The NY Times">Via Steve Roman who provides the recap and another excerpt</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/25/sports/tennis/25tennis.html" title="Talk of Efforts to Fix Matches Rattles Pro Tennis"><em>The New York Times</em></a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>[...] At the center of the investigation is Betfair, one of the largest so-called online sports exchanges, which matches bettors directly against each other, rather than against the house, as traditional bookmakers do. <strong>Betfair set off the current crisis when it voided $7 million in bets after Mr. Davydenko withdrew from a match against 74th-ranked Martin Vassallo Arguello of Argentina at the Prokom Open in August in Sopot, Poland.</strong> Mr. Davydenko retired because of an injury with Mr. Vassallo Arguello ahead, 2-6, 6-3, 2-1. <strong>During the match, Betfair notified the ATP that its security team had recognized irregular betting patterns.</strong></p>
<p>[...] <strong>At Betfair, which is based in London, tennis ranks third behind horse racing and soccer</strong> among its one million customers, who together place five million bets each day. More than $60 million was handled for the Wimbledonâ€™s menâ€™s final, won by Roger Federer over Rafael Nadal.</p>
<p>Robin Marks, a Betfair spokesman, said the decision to void the bets from the match in Poland â€” the first time the company had ever done so â€” was an easy one. A large amount of money was coming in for the obscure match, Mr. Marks said, and the betting patterns made little sense: Mr. Davydenko went from an odds-on favorite to a significant underdog before the match started, and his odds drifted higher and more money came in for Mr. Vassallo Arguello even after Mr. Davydenko won the first set.</p>
<p><strong>By the next morning, Betfairâ€™s 40-person security team had unearthed additional information by combing its records and tracing unique Internet addresses. Betfair passed on that information in accordance with the ATPâ€™s anti-corruption program</strong>, which was put in place in 2003 in the wake of a match-fixing scandal in cricket. Mr. Marks said <strong>Betfair has similar agreements with 28 other sports leagues</strong> on which it takes bets. He declined to specify what Betfair had found. â€œWhy would the betting patterns change before a ball was even hit?â€ Mr. Marks said. â€œWhy would more money come in against him when he had already won the first set? You come to the assumption that somebody knew something.â€ [...]</p></blockquote>
<p><em>Previously</em>: <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/08/12/betfair-has-an-anti-fraud-team-whereas-intrade-tradesports-has-none/" title="The â€œfraud teamâ€ and the integrity teamâ€ of the Internet gambling colossus Betfair, which handles more daily trades than the New York Stock Exchange">BetFair has an anti-fraud team whereas InTrade-TradeSports has none.</a></p>
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