Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Python

Mat Fogarty’s Xpree needs a mini Chris Hibbert.

Company: Xpree – prediction market software
Job Title: Senior Software Engineer
Description: Xpree is a leader [*] in providing software to enable corporations to tap their collective intelligence.  Using prediction market based technology , Xpree’s solution is a fun game enabling the players to bet on future events and metrics.
We are looking for an experienced Software Engineer [...]

An automated market maker subisdizes Robin Hanson’s presidential decision-aid markets on Intrade

Peter McCluskey:

Automated Market Maker for certain Intrade contracts
I have implemented subsidies to encourage trading of some conditional prediction market contracts that may provide useful information about the consequences of the 2008 presidential election, via a simple automated market maker (using an algorithm described near the end of http://hanson.gmu.edu/ifextropy.html). The subsidized market maker ought to provide [...]

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