Tag Archives: Project Manager

Prediction markets = A tool for quantifying the conventional wisdom

Eric Zitzewitz responded to Paul Krugman: Almost all of the serious people who study or work with these markets are not in the “markets are magic” camp. My work in this area (with Justin Wolfers usually and Andrew Leigh and … Continue reading

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Information Sharing at Google via Enterprise Prediction Markets

Zubin Jelveh (the blogging colleague of Felix Salmon at Portfolio magazine): [...] One of the biggest findings was that an employee’s trading performance was most strongly correlated with the trading results of the other Googlers around him (or her). Friends … Continue reading

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Prediction markets on architectural project completion

This blog post at The Park Paradigm makes me remember that I’ve always been bullish about prediction markets on architectural project delivery date. I believe that that’s an instance where insider information can beat the project manager’s bullyness. Example: When … Continue reading

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Putting crowd wisdom to work

by Google’s Bo Cowgill (Project Manager): — At Google, we’re constantly trying to find new ways to organize the world’s information, including information relevant to our business. Building on the ideas of Friedrich Hayek and the Iowa Electronic Markets, a … Continue reading

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