Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: project management

Using prediction markets to support IT project management

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2008 — 3 Comments

Via AS
Using prediction markets to support IT project management

Posted in Cases, Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged

Should Midas Oracle adopt this process for its next open project?

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 25, 2007 — Leave a Comment
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Prediction markets or insider trading could reveal information hidden from upper management

Written by Michael Giberson on October 29, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Larry Ribstein suggests that at least some of Boeing’s troubles with the 787 might have been avoided if either insider trading was permitted in Boeing’s stock or the company was operating internal prediction markets focused on project completion.
The quotes that Ribstein draws from the Wall Street Journal article on Boeing highlight two problems – one [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Business, Cases | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Here’s how businesses should use prediction markets to see what their futures may hold.

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 18, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Entepreneur.com in February 2007:
[...] But [Consensus Point's David] Perry still recommends that prediction markets be used to answer high-value questions such as sales forecasts, ideal product features and future demand levels. [...]
Chris Masse recommends that prediction markets be used to answer questions where the other forecasting tools may have specific accuracy problems —e.g., the schedule [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Consulting | Also tagged

Hanson’s Market Scoring Rule Explained in Five Sentences, Why Betfair Gets So Little U.S. Press Coverage, and other Half-Baked Commentary by Michael Giberson

Written by Michael Giberson on September 16, 2007 — 2 Comments

[Chris Masse invited me to submit to an email interview. I’m responding here to Chris’s questions, rendered in italics below. I'm not sure that anyone other than Chris will be interested, and half-way through he may regret this idea himself. This piece may single handedly kill off 60 90 percent of the interest in [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs, Regulations | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

FIRMWARE AND PREDICTION MARKETS: INKLING IS RIGHT.

Written by Guest Author on April 27, 2007 — 2 Comments

THE INKLING GUYS ARE RIGHT about the future of corporate prediction markets:
We’ve always felt this how [corporate prediction markets] may evolve: Instead of [..] a standalone marketplace, we expect to be fully integrated instead with an ERP system like SAP or Oracle, CRM systems like salesforce.com, or other mission critical systems of the same ilk. [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Resources - References, Software | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Long-Term Applications Of Organizational Prediction Markets??

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 4, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Jed Christiansen has another interesting blog post out.
He writes about corporate prediction markets being used for forecasting in matters of research and development (R&D), project management and product sale. Just a short thought, if I may. Prediction markets are not really the best tool for forseeing the years ahead of us —one quarter or one [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Also tagged , ,

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