Tag Archives: presidential candidate

Former chief economic adviser on French presidential candidate, Socialist Segolene Royal

Posted on April 24, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

WITH FRIENDS LIKE ERIC BESSON, DOES SHE NEED ENEMIES?? — The Economist: [...] One man who thinks he can explain Ms Royal is Eric Besson, her former chief economic adviser, who quit during this campaign. In a book shot through … Continue reading →

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Structuring the Prediction Markets

Posted on March 13, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Jed Christiansen on CDA: [...] The drawback to this system is that in order for the market to work, there must be sufficient liquidity. If just a few people are trading, they simply may not come to agreement on a … Continue reading →

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France: a Republican President is looming.

Posted on February 14, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Woman: Segolene Royal (Socialist): 41% The Man: Nicolas Sarokozy (Republican): 54% Technical Note: BetFair probabilities are not accessible thru the Web interface (the prediction market sub-window freezes before giving the data), so I went to BetFair Lite and took … Continue reading →

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Justin Wolfers can’t believe that prediction markets don’t show already a clear win for the Dems in the 2008 presidential election.

Posted on November 3, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

How Much Do Election Shakeups Affect the Nation’s Economy? – [US politics & financial markets] – by Justin Wolfers and Mark Thoma – 2006-11-03 [Justin Wolfers] And the major puzzle that I currently see? The past two years have clearly … Continue reading →

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