Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: prediction market journalist

Question to Caveat Bettor

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 4, 2008 — 1 Comment

Cav,
In light of Robin Hanson’s latest blah blah blah…
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Do you really think that a prediction market journalist (or blogger) should disclose his/her event derivative holdings (as you do systematically)?…
Just a question that crossed my mind.
I was in favor of it before I read Hanson. Now, I have doubts… (Hanson, be damned. )
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Posted in Ethics, Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , ,

Good news: The BetFair blog now features a prediction market column. — Bad news: Their columnist is an anonymous writer with long hair… and dubious skills.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 15, 2008 — 1 Comment

How low can BetFair go with their so-called blog? They are descending so low that they may find out oil in the Hammersmith undergrounds.
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Good news: They have a new columnist who tries to apply the prediction market approach. He even uses my two favorites tags, “prediction markets” and “prediction exchanges“. Good —although, the last one [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Still unconvinced by prediction market journalist Justin Wolfers

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 31, 2008 — Leave a Comment

The Justin Wolfers series in the Wall Street Journal is plagued with rotten links to the WSJ’s bot-driven, play-money prediction sub-exchange (which is secretly programed to reflect InTrade’s real-money prices).

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The latest installment (which does not featured a single prediction market chart) is written by Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzwewitz. A pillar of prediction market journalism [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

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