Midas Oracle .ORG » prediction market data visualization

If David Pennock were to seek innovation in prediction market data visualization…

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 29 May 2008 10:36:48 +0000

… he would associate this with that.

The Most Important Thing That David Yu And John Delaney Should Ask Their Team To Implement

Chris F. Masse — Mon, 26 May 2008 09:13:18 +0000

Dynamic, compound chart widgets with customizable news markers.

The brand-new HubDub chart widgets —which InTrade, TradeSports, BetFair, TradeFair, Betdaq and NewsFutures could look into for ideas

Chris F. Masse — Tue, 20 May 2008 08:53:48 +0000

My questions got answered.

The little flaw in the “market widgets” has been corrected. (indeed, see below.)
The “news markers” will be reintroduced later. Great.
An example of a “prediction widget” is here.
Yes, the HubDub widgets go into feeds. Great.
Yes, the HubDub widgets are dynamic —they will update themselves each time a page loads.
Psstt… I bet people cannot spot the yellow line, below… A pity, that’s the line that gives the latest, most popular odds.

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what is this?

How much will Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull gross its opening weekend?

% chance over time

Under 70 Million $

70.01 – 90 Million $

90.01 – 110 Million $

110.01 – 130 Million $

130.01 Million $ or above

Get this widget

Can you get it right? Make your prediction…

Hubdub – The News Prediction Game

Testing the new HubDub chart widgets

Chris F. Masse — Mon, 19 May 2008 17:51:01 +0000

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what is this?

Who will the 2008 Democratic candidate for President be?

% chance over time

Barack Obama

Hillary Clinton

John Edwards

Someone else

Get this widget

Can you get it right? Make your prediction…

Hubdub – The News Prediction Game

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what is this?

Who will be the next President of the U.S.?

% chance over time

John McCain

Mike Huckabee

Ron Paul

Ralph Nader

Mike Bloomberg

Hillary Clinton

Barack Obama

Other

Get this widget

Can you get it right? Make your prediction…

Hubdub – The News Prediction Game

Nigel, it seems that there’s a text line generated, which comes before the chart… Bizarre.

Nigel, those are the market widgets, right? Any chance to have news markers?

I still need to discover the prediction widgets… Any hint? Thanks.

I hope those chart widgets will go thru the feed…

Are those charts dynamic? Will they update themselves, later on, Nigel?

How BetFair screw up the “Next Mayor Of London” embeddable, enriched, compound chart widget —BIG TIME

Chris F. Masse — Wed, 23 Apr 2008 23:50:44 +0000

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PUT YOUR MOUSE CURSOR ON ONE OF THE WHITE DOTS PRESENT ON THE CHART, AND SPOT THE POP-UP MESSAGE.
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IF YOU’RE READING THIS FROM WITHIN YOUR FEED READER, GO TO THE BLOG POST, ON THE MIDAS ORACLE WEBSITE, BECAUSE THE BETFAIR CHART WIDGET IN QUESTION DOESN’T APPEAR IN THE FEED.
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1. The chart should output the market-generated, implied probabilities expressed in percentages —not those damn decimal/digital odds. (Actually, Boris Johnson is ahead of Ken Livingstone.)
2. The news markers were filled by RIchard Quest, last week-end, during his Central Park escapade, it seems. … I mean, these comments were written in a tabloid way.
3. The blogger who would embed this compound chart would like to write his/her own news markers.
4. Clicking on the “Â£25 free bet now” area, at the right lower corner, did not open any new browser tab showing the BetFair website because my browser, Mozilla FireFox, “prevented this site from opening a popup window”.
5. The chart widget shows up on the webpage, but not in the feed —most of the blog readership happens in feed readers, nowadays. Just below is a screen shot of the feed of the Midas Oracle .COM blog, where I published one blog post with the BetFair chart widget, and another blog post with the inTrade chart widget. As you can plainly see, the InTrade chart widget can be consumed thru a feed reader, while the BetFair one can’t. (You don’t see that on the screen shot below, but, for your information, all InTrade chart widgets can be seen in a feed reader, including the InTrade compound chart widgets.)