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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; Prediction Market Consortium</title>
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	<description>Prediction Markets, etc.</description>
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		<title>The 6 little things David Pennock didn&#8217;t tell you about the Prediction Market Institute</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/03/12/prediction-market-institute/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/03/12/prediction-market-institute/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2009 09:29:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis (Industry)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Midas Oracle Project]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Pennock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Institute Of Prediction Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prediction Market Consortium]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prediction Market Institute]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=13233</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[- #1. &#8211; It is not such a great idea to call it a &#8220;prediction market institute&#8221;, for the reasons that it excludes the non-market mechanisms and the other collective intelligence mechanisms. (See Daniel&#8217;s comment on the Pennock blog, here.) &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/03/12/prediction-market-institute/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>- #1. &#8211; It is not such a great idea to call it a &#8220;<em>prediction market</em> institute&#8221;,</strong> for the reasons that it excludes the non-market mechanisms and the other collective intelligence mechanisms. (<a href="http://blog.oddhead.com/2009/03/11/should-there-be-a-prediction-market-institute/">See Daniel&#8217;s comment on the Pennock blog, here</a>.) That said, it should <strong>focus on</strong> prediction markets &#8212;do you feel the nuance, doc?</p>
<p><strong>- #2. -</strong> It shall not be a pure academic endeavor. <strong>It shall be a mix between academics, exchange operators, and other participants</strong> in the field of prediction markets. The term &#8220;applied research&#8221; conveys it. It is <strong>&#8220;applied&#8221;</strong> in the sense that it is not research eggheads bottling up in yet another Ivory Tower. The outputs of this PMI should be <strong>useful</strong> for the prediction exchanges and the software vendors.</p>
<p><strong>- #3. -</strong> One of the purpose of regrouping the prediction market forces into a grand consortium would be to <strong>seek external alliances with some foundations, think tanks or educational organizations</strong> that might share our ideology &#8212;yes, I said &#8220;ideology&#8221;.</p>
<p><strong>- #4. -</strong> It is not such a great idea to set up our own organization from scratch. It is more pragmatic to seek out the creation of a &#8220;unit&#8221; or &#8220;department&#8221; <strong>within an already existed organization</strong> that has a larger purpose than ours &#8212;for instance, one focused on &#8220;derivatives&#8221;, &#8220;wisdom of crowds&#8221;, &#8220;digital business&#8221;, &#8220;knowledge management&#8221;, &#8220;forecasting&#8221;, or whatever meta keyword you can think of and that encompasses the prediction markets and their cousin mechanisms.</p>
<p><strong>- #5. -</strong> It shall have a clear strategy, game plan, and way to assess the results.</p>
<p><strong>- #6. -</strong> It shall have <a href="http://www.dpennock.com/">David Pennock</a> on top. That guy is our common denominator. He is our most sociable element. He never slammed anyone. (The only time he went on being bombastic is when, being a boy, he told his mother, <strong>&#8220;I don&#8217;t like broccolis, they taste like fractals.&#8221;</strong>)</p>
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