Tag Archives: prediction acccuracy
Is there a fundamental problem diminushing the intensity of the predictive power of any prediction market whose expiry is months (or years) away?
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta)
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Also tagged accuracy, long-term prediction markets, prediction markets, Robin Hanson
Koleman Strumpf assesses the election forecast.
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities
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Also tagged accuracy, assessing election forecast, BetFair Predicts, historical prediction markets, Koleman Strumpf, prediction market accuracy, prediction markets
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