Tag Archives: Politician

Five Reasons the Prediction Market Critics Are Wrong.

Posted on January 10, 2008 by Steve Roman

1. It really was an upset â€“ As it has been pointed out elsewhere, the Clinton victory was a surprise to everyone. Favorites can lose. But so what? Ordinarily, thatâ€™s not a market flaw or a reason to doubt the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, accuracy, Chicago Tribune, Clinton, elections, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, France, Justin Wolfers, Le Pen, New Hampshire, Politician, Politics, prediction markets, President, Prime Minister, regulation, Regulations, Steve Sailer, Trader, Truman, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections | 3 Comments

Massachusetts governor’s proposal to send the TradeSports-InTrade traders to jail is foolish.

Posted on November 12, 2007 by Steve Roman

Steve Roman: Expect to see more of this. State politicians have a big problem: theyâ€™ve made lots of promises and are financially unable to keep all of them. For the states, pension and health care promises made during expansionary times … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Politics, Regulations | Tagged American Gaming Association, Casinos, governor, Maryland, Massachusetts, Ohio, Patrick, Pennsylvania, Politician, Steve Roman, United States | Leave a comment

Demise of a Sarko Killer

Posted on May 24, 2007 by Emile Servan-Schreiber

She was billed as the only one who could steal this election from Nicolas Sarkozy. The media had dubbed her “the queen of the polls”, so towering was her popularity over her socialist rivals for the party’s nomination. She was … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged deep link, FranÃ§ois Mitterrand, France, Jacques Chirac, Nicolas Sarkozy, Politician, President, proper solution, Queen | 1 Comment

NEXT SUNDAY, THE FRENCH WILL ELECT REPUBLICAN NICOLAS SARKOZY AS THEIR PRESIDENT.

Posted on April 20, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Economist tells me I should vote for Nicolas Sarkozy. Well… if they really think he’s “the man”… The French presidential election France’s chance Apr 12th 2007 From The Economist print edition After a quarter-century of drift Nicolas Sarkozy offers … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged America, Britain, candidate, coddled public services, economist, Europe, European Central Bank, European Union, Finance, finance minister, FranÃ§ois Mitterrand, France, Francois Bayrou, interior minister, Ireland, Jacques Chirac, Jean-Marie Le Pen, leader, minister, National Front, Nicolas Sarkozy, Open Institute Of Prediction Markets, Paris railway station, Politician, President, Socialist candidate, Spain, The Economist, The Netherlands, Tony Blair, Turkey, UMP party, welfare systems, western Europe | 7 Comments

US Politician to Watch: US Senator James Webb (Dem)

Posted on January 27, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

I couldn’t believe my ears: Pat Buchanan (paleo-conservative) eulogizing James Webb (a Dem) on the McLaughlin Group. – Transcript – Audio – Video – Links will come alive next Monday and next Wednesday. No James Webb prediction market at InTrade … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged Alex Forshaw, James Webb, James Webb (Dem), McLaughlin Group, Pat Buchanan, Politician, prediction markets, United States, Washington Stock Exchange | 1 Comment