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- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
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- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
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Tag Archives: Political Party
2008 US ELECTORAL MAP PREDICTION: Prediction Markets for the 2008 US Electoral College
ELECTORAL COLLEGE MARKETS: Probabilistic predictions for the 2008 US presidential elections based on market data from InTrade Ireland —(electoralmarkets.com). By Lance Fortnow, David Pennock, and Yiling Chen. – - #1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – A prediction market is a … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Resources - References
Tagged 2008 electoral map prediction, 2008 US elections, 2008 US electoral map prediction, 2008 US presidential elections, America, Americans, CNN, David Pennock, electoral college, electoral college markets, electoral map, electoral map prediction, electoral markets, electoral predictions, electoral vote, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Iowa, Lance Fortnow, market data, objective probabilistic predictions, Political Party, Politics, predicted probabilities, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Predictions, President, Prime Minister, probabilistic predictions, real-money prediction markets, Robin Hanson, U.S. House of Representatives, United Kingdom, United States, United States Of America, United States Senate, US elections, US electoral college, US House Of Representatives Elections, US politics, US presidential elections, USD, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party, Yahoo!, Yiling Chen
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2008 US Electoral Map Prediction
- US ELECTORAL MAP: Prediction Markets for the 2008 Electoral College ElectoralMarkets.com – - Via Read & Write Web 2008 Electoral Map (based on InTade) + 2008 Electoral Map (based on polls) – UPDATE: Hal Finney – See our PREDICTIONS … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged 2008 Electoral Map, CNN, David Pennock, electoral college, electoral map, electoral markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hal Finney, InTrade, Iowa, Lance Fortnow, map, Political Party, polls, prediction markets, President, Robin Hanson, U.S. House of Representatives, United States, United States Senate, US electoral college, USD, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party, Yahoo!, Yiling Chen
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Prediction markets on the Democratic and Republican presidential nominees – InTrade-TradeSports
InTrade-TradeSports: IMPORTANT: Expiry of 2008 US Election Contracts Tuesday, Oct 30, 2007 We would like to advise a change in expiry procedure for contracts in the following group: 2008 Presidential Election Winner (Individual) We originally planned to merge the contracts … Continue reading
Slate compares InTrade, Iowa Electronic Markets and NewsFutures’ political prediction markets.
And it doesn’t look good for NewsFutures. While InTrade and IEM’s prices/probabilities are quite close, NewsFutures’ ones are out of whack, sometimes by a magnitude of ten points. – Republican nominee – Democratic nominee – Next US President – Political … Continue reading
TradeSports-InTrade Expiry Rule on Assassination??
This is a follow-up on my last blog post, What if, God forbids, some mad man GUNNED DOWN World Bank’s Paul Wolfowitz?? I am asked by mister Steve Roman (who has a vested interest in the subject of political assassination) … Continue reading
TradeSports-InTrade prediction markets on Bush approval ratings
Donald Luskin notes that the text of this contract has a glitch. Probably, a TradeSports employee using a template has forgotten to delete an old text pertaining to US election prediction markets, while filling the “Rules” tab. (The webpage for … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, X Groups
Tagged Chris F. Masse, Chris Hibbert, Chris Masse, D day, Donald Luskin, George W. Bush, help@tradesports.com, human operator, Matt Bonner, Oil price, Political Party, prediction markets, President, software glitch, United States
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