Tag Archives: Palm Desert

POLLS VERSUS PREDICTION MARKETS: Justin Wolfers retorts to Bob Erikson.

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 9, 2008 — 7 Comments

Justin Wolfers (in January 2008):
1. Bob and Chris has four elections in their data, so it is hard to draw too much from it. That said, I draw two conclusions. First, markets beat an unconditional use of polls as forecasts. Second, correcting the polls, the two are pretty darn close. Based on a sample of [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Also tagged accuracy, Bob Erikson, Christopher Wlezien, event deivative markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, Iowa Electronic Markets, Justin Wolfers, Politics, polls, prediction markets, relative accuracy, Robert S. Erikson, sports betting markets, Take Fred Thompson, the Journal of Economic Perspectives

Manipulation can affect prices.

Written by Eric Zitzewitz on May 30, 2007 — 10 Comments

For the last two weeks a very interesting manipulation has been going on in Intrade’s “Hillary Clinton for President” contract.
1. The contract had been trading between 23 and 26 all year. It has consistently been about half the price of the “Hillary to get nominated” contract price. This ratio implies that, conditional [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged Bush, Greg Mankiw, Hanson, Hillary Clinton, media mention, President, Republican Party, slightly weaker general election candidate, Tyler Cowen, USD

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets Workshop starts today.

Written by George Tziralis on May 21, 2007 — 1 Comment

In a few hours, the workshop The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications starts at Palm Desert, California.
The quality of presenters is excellent and the workshop has succeeded in attracting high level contributions. The program and complete list of papers to be presented are available here, while directly related to prediction [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Betting, Economics, Gambling | Also tagged Andrew Leigh, Athens University of Economics and Business, Australian National University, Bob Erikson, California, Chris Wlezien, Columbia, Columbia University, Eric Zitzewitz, Feng Zhou, George Mason University, Hebrew University, Iowa, Jakob Bergfjord, Joyce E. Berg, Justin Wolfers, National Football League, New York University, Norwegian School of Economics, Pennsylvania, Philip O'Connor, prediction markets, Raphael Markellos, Ricard Gil, Robin Hanson, Ryan Oprea, Santa Cruz, Stanford University, Stefan Luckner, Steve Levitt, Temple University, Tom Gruca, University of California at Santa Cruz, University of Chicago, University of Iowa, University of Karlsruhe, University of Pennsylvania, University of Waikato, University of Westminster, Vasiliki A. Makropoulou, World Cup, Yahoo!

COMING SOON: The Prediction Market Conferences

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 5, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Prawf Eric Zitzewitz, do you have something to wear, this time??
—
Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – (Details) – EC’07 - ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce – @ San Diego, California, U.S.A. – 2007-06-11~15
The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications – (Program) – @ University of Riverside, Palm Desert, California, U.S.A. [...]

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged California, e-commerce, San Diego, United States, University of Riverside

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 14, 2007 — 1 Comment

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications – University of California at Riverside, Palm Desert, California, U.S.A. – 2007-05-10~22
Gambling: Design and Implementation 1
- “An Examination of the Determinants of Biased Behaviour in a Market for State Contingent Claims” Professor Johnnie Johnson, Southampton University Professor Alistair Bruce, University of Nottingham Jiejun Yu, [...]

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged Albert N. Link, Alexander Koch, Alistair Bruce, Andrew Economopoulos, Andrew Grant, Andrew Weinbach, Andy Weinbach, Athens University of Economics and Business, Avichai Snir, Bar Ilan University, Bob Erikson, Boston College, Bruno Deschamps, California, Chad D. Cotti, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Coastal Carolina University, College of the Holy Cross, Columbia, Columbia University, Cross Border, Dartmouth College, David Grant, David Johnstone, David Paton, David Peel, Don Imus, Donald Siegel, Douglas Walker, Drew B. Winters, Embedded Prediction, Eric Zitzewitz, Feng Zhou, George Mason University, Georgia, Georgia College, Greensboro, Greg Durham, Hebrew University, Herbert Walther, Ian McHale, Internet betting, Iowa, Iraq, Jeremy Ko, John Lynham, John Pierson, John T. Scott, Johnnie Johnson, Justin Wolfers, Kelly Probability Scoring, Lancaster University, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Loreto Llorente, Macau, Marshall Gramm, Mike Wenz, Ming-Chien Sung, Montana, National Football League, New York, New York University, North Carolina, Norwegian School of Economics, Nottingham Trent University, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State University, Ole Jakob Bergfjord, Orly Sade, Pennsylvania, Philip O'Connor, prediction markets, Professor, Ramon DeGennaro, Raphael Markellos, Raymond So, Rhodes College, Ricard Gil, Ricardo Siu, Richard McGowan, Riverside, Robin Hanson, Rodney J. Paul, Ron Mau, Royal Holloway College, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Salford University, Santa Barbara, Santa Cruz, Schnytzer, Shannon Neibergs, South Carolina, Southampton, Southampton University, St. Bonaventure University, Stanford University, Stefan Luckner, Stefan Winter, Steve Levitt, Sydney Professor David, Tennessee, tennis, Texas, Texas Tech University, Tom Gruca, United Kingdom, United States, Universidad Pública de Navarra, University of Bath, University of Birmingham, University of California, University of Chicago, University of Economics, University of Iowa, University of Karlsruhe, University of Kent, University of London, University of Macau, University of North Carolina at Greensboro, University of Nottingham, University of Nottingham Jiejun Yu, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Carolina, University of Sydney, University of Tennessee, University of Waikato, University of Waikato TBA, University of Westminster, Ursinus College, Victor Matheson, Washington, Washington State University, Western Carolina University, William H. Dare, William Ziemba, Winona State University, World Cup, Yahoo!

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 5, 2007 — 1 Comment

#1. Call for papers – Special issue of Economica – Submission deadline: February 15, 2007.
#2. Conference at University of Riverside, Palm Desert, California, U.S.A.: May 20~22, 2007.
More information: The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged California, United States, University of Riverside

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Tag Archives: Palm Desert

POLLS VERSUS PREDICTION MARKETS: Justin Wolfers retorts to Bob Erikson.

Manipulation can affect prices.

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets Workshop starts today.

COMING SOON: The Prediction Market Conferences

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

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Search

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