Tag Archives: Oxford University

What Robin Hanson told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Robin Hanson: Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2008 10:12:46 -0400 To: secretary@cftc.gov From: Robin Hanson <rhanson@gmu.edu> Subject: Comment on “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts” —————————————————————- I am an event market innovator, having published the first detailed … Continue reading

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The 27th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting

The 27th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting – Financial Forecasting in a Global Economy @ Marriott Marquis, Times Square, New York City, NY, U.S.A. – 2007-06-24~27 Keynote Speakers Robert Engle = Michael Armellino Professor of Finance at New York University … Continue reading

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The structure of simExchange game stocks

Brian Shiau (draft): Contracts on most prediction markets are often binary contracts that pay depending on whether the event described by the contract occurs or does not occur. This structure is often referred as a binary option [1]. However, a … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments

James Annan on Midas Oracle

Two words to introduce Doctor James Annan to the Midas Oracle readers who have just surfaced from an Afghan cave. – James Annan is an eminent British climate scientist, currently working in Japan. – Wikipedians view him as a notable … Continue reading

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