Tag Archives: OSCAR

The best research papers on prediction markets

Posted on June 11, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

As seen by Andreas Graefe… IIFâ€™s SIG on Prediction Markets Research Papers Basics Several studies explain the concept of prediction markets and provide useful summaries of the method, e.g. – Spann, M. & Skiera, B. (2003). Internet-based Virtual Stock Markets … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Analysis (Meta), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Resources - References | Tagged academic papers, academic research, American Magazine, Andreas Graefe, betting exchange, betting markets, California, California Institute of Technology, cellular telephone, Delphi, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, Hanson, Hewlett-Packard, Hollywood Stock Exchange, IEEE Intelligent Systems, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Journal of Political Economy, National Football League, NEC Research Institute, No.1131, North Carolina, OSCAR, Pasadena, Pennock, Porter, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Research, the field, University of North Carolina, Web Market Games | Leave a comment

Should the Hollywood Stock Exchange become a real-money betting exchange?

Posted on October 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Via Max Keiser, Trader Daily ($$$): Hollywood Ending – Trader Daily – October 4, 2007 – by Robert LaFranco A decade ago, a Wall Street trader and an L.A. dealmaker united to remake the movie industry in the image of … Continue reading →

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, History, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged Academy Award, advertising vehicle, Alec Baldwin, Andrew Merkatz, Andy Kaplan, Andy Wing, Barney, betting exchanges, betting markets, Cambridge Technology Ventures, Cantor, Cantor Exchange, Cantor spokesman, CEO, Citigroup, consumer portal, CountryRoad Capital, Dallas Mavericks, Eddie Murphy, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, exchange software, executive, former finance whiz kids, former stockbroker, Harvard Business School, Herb Ritts Gallery, Hollywood Stock Exchange, investment banker, Judd Apatow, Keystone Venture Capital, L.A., Lions Gate, London, Los Angeles, Mark Cuban, MarketCast, Max Keiser, media projects, merchant banking, Michael Burns, Michael Milken, Moby, movie business, movies, NBC, news network, Nielsen National Research Group, online futures markets, online prediction market, online sideshow, Online Testing Exchange, OSCAR, Paris, Paul Galbraith, Predict-It CEO, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, predictive products, prime real estate, Prudential Securities, public relations, Robert Evans, Robert LaFranco, Ron Jeremy, S&P 500, Scandinavian Broadcast Service, Sony, spokesman, sports-spread betting program, stockbroker, studio accounting practices, Sundance Film Festival, television executive, The Howard Stern Show, Tinseltown, Todd Wagner, top television executive, Trader, United Kingdom, United States, USD, VIP lounge of Hollywood, virtual banking system, Virtual Specialist, Wall Street, Wall Street trader, web traffic | 9 Comments

The limitations of logic (and the need for passion)

Posted on May 10, 2007 by Caveat Bettor

In case you need catching up, 2 of the finer prediction market intellects, Steve Levitt and Robin Hanson took different tacks on the economists petition in favor of rolling back restrictions on prediction exchanges. Levitt wouldn’t sign, and gave his … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Tagged Denzel Washington, Glory, Jupiter Sharts, Massachusetts, Negro, Negro regiment, OSCAR, prediction markets, Private, Robin Hanson, Steve Levitt, Trip, USD | 1 Comment

Oscars 2007 – Hollywood Stock Exchange – Bingo!

Posted on February 27, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

HSX Amy Lamare: Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX.com) Traders correctly picked 7 out of 8 Top Category Oscar Winners to continue its stellar record. Los Angeles, California, February 26, 2007 – Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX), announced a spectacular 88% success rate … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry | Tagged Alex Costakis, Amy Lamare, Animation, California, Hollywood Stock Exchange, Internet Marketing, Los Angeles, Managing Director, Max Keiser, Michael Burns, NominOption, online game, OSCAR, Oscars, Oscars 2007 - Hollywood Stock Exchange, prediction market, prediction market technology, prediction markets | 2 Comments

INKLING MARKETS: Winners get cashed out at $100, losers $0.

Posted on February 27, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

[ABC7 Futures Market] – An Inkling stock has ended. – UPDATE Yes, it was a mistake. Chris, Actually, there was a mistake made when closing out the markets. Winners do indeed get cashed out at $100, losers $0 just like … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged Al Gore, An Inconvenient Truth, OSCAR, USD | Leave a comment

FINALLY, THE HOLLYWOOD STOCK EXCHANGE ACKNOWLEDGES ITS TWO FOUNDERS, MAX KEISER AND MICHAEL BURNS.

Posted on February 25, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

In my previous story, I regretted that the names of the two HSX founders (Max Keiser and Michael Burns) were not clearly spelled out on the HSX website. Well, here’s from HSX’s Alex Costakis: I just saw your post about … Continue reading →

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged Alex Costakis, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, Max Keiser, Michael Burns, OSCAR, Oscar Night, Oscars, prediction markets | 1 Comment

HSX – Oscars Nominations Prediction Markets – Accuracy

Posted on February 23, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

HSX: 2007 – 82% 2006 – 87.5% 2005 – 82.5% 2004 – 74.4% 2003 – 82.5% 2002 – 87.5% 2001 – 84.6% 2000 – 79.5% 1999 – 84.2% Congrats to Max Keiser and Michael Burns. … Heu, sorry, I lost … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Alex Costakis, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, Max Keiser, Michael Burns, OSCAR, Oscar Night, Oscars, prediction markets | 2 Comments

Hollywood Stock Exchange’s Alex Costakis makes historical mistake, TOO.

Posted on February 23, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

History of the Hollywood Stock Exchange: June 2006: Hollywood Stock Exchange launches the Sports Stock ExchangeÂ® with special securities covering the 2006 FIFA World Cup. April 2006: HSX Research wins contract for building Storage Markets, an innovative prediction market platform … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged 97.1 FM, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alex Costakis, Alexander Costakis, Beck Method, Black Entertainment Television, Canada, Cantor Fitzgerald L.P., CEO, Chris Masse, Crystal Method, executive, FIFA, FIFA World Cup, France, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, HSX Research, immersive online experience, Inkling CEO, inkling markets, Inkling Markets CEO, innovative MSR, interactive TV, Ken Kittlitz, KGO, Los Angeles, Managing Director, market maker, market-maker technology, Max Keiser, Michael Burns, Moby, MSR, online trading game, OSCAR, Oscar Night, Oscar Party, Oscars, prediction markets, Professor, reporter, Robin Hanson, Sports Stock Exchange, the Globe, The Globe and Mail, The Hollywod Stock Exchange, the New York Times, The Oscars, The Wall Street Journal, TVStock, two Inkling-enabled technologies, user-created contract technology, Vice President of Sales, Virtual Specialist, Wall Street Journal, Washington Stock Exchange, Web show, Weekly, white label prediction market solution, www.hsxresearch.com, www.virtualproducer.com | 7 Comments

Two Tipping Points for Inkling Markets and Market Scoring Rule — CORRECTION

Posted on February 21, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Well… a correction that ABC7 San Francisco and Inkling Markets should make… not me or Midas Oracle. Adam Siegel: “For the first time really, the regular public is going to be exposed to this kind of technology, and really be … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged Adam, Adam Siegel, Hollywood Stock Exchange, Interactive Music Exchange, OSCAR, prediction markets, San Francisco | 2 Comments

HSX vs. TRADESPORTS – CANADIAN TRADER SACHA PETER CAN’T READ ENGLISH.

Posted on December 17, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

I disagree with his disagreement. Aren’t you impressed by WHAT FOLLOWS? – TRADERS HIT A PERFECT 100% OF OSCAR WINNERS. – February 28, 2005 – TRADERS HIT 87.5% OF OSCAR NOMINATIONS. – January 31, 2006 – TRADERS HIT 88% OF … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators | Tagged Canada, Hollywood Stock Exchange, OSCAR, OSCAR NOMINATIONS, OSCAR WINNERS, prediction markets, Sacha Peter, Trader, TRADESPORTS - CANADIAN, United States | Leave a comment

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