Tag Archives: Oil price

John Tierney won a $5,000 bet with Matthew Simmons.

Posted on December 28, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

“I called Mr. Simmons to discuss a bet. To his credit –and unlike some other Malthusians– he was eager to back his predictions with cash. He expected the price of oil, then about $65 a barrel, to more than triple … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Betting, Prediction Post-Mortem, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Max Keiser says on Iranian TV that HubDub’s play-money prediction market on oil price has more predictive power than the oil derivative markets (oil futures markets).

Posted on August 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Sounds like a stretch, at first glance, but listen to his argument, first, before you judge it. Good plug of HubDub inside an economic analysis segment. Video

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Prices & Probabilities, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Conditional prediction markets about oil price and SegWay sales… Like the idea, Robin Hanson?

Posted on June 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Business, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

TradeSports-InTrade prediction markets on Bush approval ratings

Posted on September 26, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Donald Luskin notes that the text of this contract has a glitch. Probably, a TradeSports employee using a template has forgotten to delete an old text pertaining to US election prediction markets, while filling the “Rules” tab. (The webpage for … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, X Groups | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment