Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: oil price spike

With a prediction market, everyone brings a small piece of information to the table, and the consensus proves surprisingly accurate.

The American: A Bettor World – Once apprenticed to a bookie, Justin Wolfers of Wharton now draws economic insight from the behavior of gamblers.
[...] Last year, for instance, the aggregate of small bettors who placed wagers on electoral results on TradeSports, a Web-based market, forecasted the outcome of every U.S. Senate race correctly. Companies like [...]

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