Tag Archives: Ohio

Hillary Clinton vs. Barack Obama

- Noam Scheiber: 1.) Hillary wins both Ohio and Texas. 2.) Hillary wins Ohio; Obama wins Texas. 3.) Obama wins both Ohio and Texas. I put in bold the most likely scenario, according to InTrade’s prediction markets. – The Democrats … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Massachusetts governor’s proposal to send the TradeSports-InTrade traders to jail is foolish.

Steve Roman: Expect to see more of this. State politicians have a big problem: they’ve made lots of promises and are financially unable to keep all of them. For the states, pension and health care promises made during expansionary times … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Politics, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Under this hypothetical scenario, the money would support a targeted advertising campaign to sell an Electoral College strategy to voters.

New York Times on Michael Bloomberg: [...] With the nation divided into red and blue as it has been in the last two presidential elections, all a rich, self-financed candidate would have to do is win a big state (or … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Forget the polls and computers, let markets pick the top 2.

Anyone who thinks that Florida is the second best team in the nation or would create the best matchup with Ohio State should check out the attached graphs: First, note that on Saturday night, around the time of USC’s loss, … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment