Tag Archives: NPD Group

DON’T PANIC. WE ARE THE SIM EXCHANGE. EVERYTHING IS UNDER CONTROL. WE WILL SETTLE OUR EVENT FUTURES.

Posted on November 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Here is what might happen when you have an exclusive source of information for contract expiry: NPD’s data policy and what that means to you Posted by [The simExchange's] Brian Shiau at 2:20PM on November 6, 2007 We understand the … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Humor, Market Expiry | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

The simExchange on July video game sales

Posted on August 29, 2007 by Brian Shiau

This is the fifth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on console hardware and the second month, the simExchange has traded contracts on 10 software SKUs. Contracts are settled against the NPD Group’s monthly unit sales … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

NPD June sales data reviewed

Posted on July 24, 2007 by Brian Shiau

This is the fourth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on the NPD Group’s monthly sales data. This month, the simExchange expanded its contract offerings to include 10 software SKUs. PS3 sales came in line with … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Shifting from stocks to futures

Posted on July 9, 2007 by Brian Shiau

This article was originally written for the simExchange community to inform them that there will be no weekly IPOs for new game stocks this week. There will be no stock IPOs on the simExchange for the week of July 9. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

NPD releases May sales data, Crowd vs Expert compared

Posted on June 15, 2007 by Brian Shiau

In the third month of trading hybrid futures to predict NPD’s monthly console sales data, it appears the Crowd is continuing to outperform one of the leading Wall Street analysts. This month, the traders on the simExchange were closer on … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

NPD releases April sales data, prediction market and analyst compared

Posted on May 18, 2007 by Brian Shiau

Last month was the first month the simExchange (the free to play video game stock market game) has traded monthly hybrid futures contracts to predict NPD US video game sales data. In this trial run, trading on the simExchange appeared … Continue reading →

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So what exactly are these “futures?”

Posted on April 16, 2007 by Brian Shiau

As you may be aware, the simExchange operates a virtual stock market for video games. The methodology of these stocks have been discussed here in the past as they differ from the usual future or option structure most prediction markets … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments