Tag Archives: North Korea

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Posted on June 1, 2009 by Ryan

Hubdubâ€™s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how theyâ€™re likely … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Barack Obama, detroit red wings, hurricane season, la lakers, los angeles lakers, National Basketball Association, National Hockey League, NBA, NHL, North Korea, nuclear tests, orlando magic, pittsburgh penguins, playoffs, Sonia Sotomayor, south korea, Supreme Court, war | Leave a comment

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata | 3 Comments

Work for free for InTrade —and become famous (a little bit).

Posted on January 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade embraces ‘crowd sourcing’: Intrade is looking for New Market Ideas! Friday, Jan 25, 2008 What uncertain event are you interested in trading? What uncertain event are you interested in getting predictive information on from the Intrade community? Please let … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged crowd sourcing, David Pennock, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, International Strategy & Investment Group, InTrade, Justin Wolfers, Mark Perry, North Korea, Peter McCluskey, prediction market proposals, prediction markets, research scientist, Robin Hanson, Yahoo! | Leave a comment

John Delaney of inTrade-TradeSports: The North Korea Missile prediction market was a P.R. disaster.

Posted on October 18, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Jed Christiansen: Itâ€™s obvious that John wants InTrade to be much more successful than it has been, but he still clearly believes that InTrade can still be very successful. He mentioned that one key in their business is market makers; … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged Chris Masse, courageous web journalist at the center, Department of Defense, Jed Christiansen, John Delaney, North Korea, prediction markets, United States, web publications | Leave a comment

InTrade-TradeSports is still plagued by the North Korea Missile scandal.

Posted on September 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Any good journalist writing up a piece on InTrade or interviewing John Delaney does mention the North Korea Missile scandal. — Bet on It! – (page two – page three + a crappy listing of exchanges) – by Spectrum’s Steven … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry | Tagged Bryan Whitman, event derivative trader, Japan, John Delaney, journalist, National Security Advisor, North Korea, prediction markets, Sea of Japan, Stephen Hadley, Steven Cherry, TradeÂsports, U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. military, United States, Vancheeswaran, White House | Leave a comment

FREAKONOMICS: John Delaney of InTrade-TradeSports.

Posted on August 10, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Freakonomics (last month): Q: Briefly, what is Intrade? A: InTrade is a marketplace, just like eBay or the NYSE, that provides innovative markets to trade, and the best darn predictive information on uncertain future events bar none! InTrade is a … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged Bryan Whitman, eBay, event derivative trader, Japan, John Delaney, National Security Advisor, non-sports prediction markets, North Korea, prediction markets, Sea of Japan, sister site, sports prediction markets, Stephen Hadley, U.S. military, United States, US government, Vancheeswaran, White House | Leave a comment

Event derivative trader Vancheeswaran has been expelled from the TradeSports-InTrade forum.

Posted on July 29, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

And, of course, no reason was cited. Trade Exchange Network Membership Information Dear vancheeswaran, The site administrators have removed your access rights: Violation of T&Cs powered by eve community<http://eve.groupee.com/landing/goto.php?a=community> Hummm… Quite vague. Do they dislike the truth, at Intrade-TradeSports? Here … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged ALL, America, Bryan Whitman, event derivative trader, Japan, John Delaney, National Security Advisor, North Korea, prediction market trader, prediction markets, Sea of Japan, Stephen Hadley, Trader, U.S. military, United States, US government, Vancheeswaran, White House | Leave a comment

INTRADE-TRADESPORTS: John Delaney LIED in his Freakonomics interview.

Posted on July 15, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

That’s what tries to demonstrate event derivative trader “Vancheeswaran” in a comment on the Freakonomics blog post featuring a complacent interview of InTrade-TradeSports’ John Delaney. — InTrade-TradeSports’ John Delaney: We listed a market on whether the U.S. Government would formally … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry | Tagged Bryan Whitman, event derivative trader, Japan, John Delaney, National Security Advisor, North Korea, prediction markets, Sea of Japan, Stephen Hadley, U.S. military, United States, US government, Vancheeswaran, White House | Leave a comment

Terrorism Futures = Repugnant Market?

Posted on July 13, 2007 by Michael Giberson

In discussing “Repugnant Markets” on BBC Radio, Tim Harford talks to Robin Hanson about the cancellation of the proposed Policy Analysis Market: HANSON: So on Monday morning two senators you know denounced the project and the very next morning the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged advisor, Arafat, BBC Radio, life insurance, North Korea, Pentagon, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, sample web page, secretary of defense, Tim Harford | 14 Comments

Event derivative trader Azazel pokes fun at InTrade-TradeSports.

Posted on July 9, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Azazel: Because I am a masochist, I think Tradesports should have contract groups relating to controversies surrounding management decisions at Tradesports. These would serve as a nice hedge for people who get screwed over by controversial decisions or are worried … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Humor | Tagged Azazel, event derivative trader, North Korea, USD | Leave a comment

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